Text Products for FWS Issued by ABR

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
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000
FNUS73 KABR 250312
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Fate Dam GPA...South Wildland Fire
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1012 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...
This forecast is preliminary, please submit another request
close to the burn time. Overall, the wind speeds are expected to
remain in the 10-20 mph range overnight, but then become gusty on
Thursday with daytime heating. Thursday afternoon will feature the
highest gust of up to 35 mph. Rain should hold off until the
afternoon hours.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........26  20  15  20  31  32  23  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  56  55  53  50  48  48  47
RH..............45  49  49  52  59  64  64  67
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..18  20  20  20  17  16  15  15
20 FT wind gust.29  30  30  29  26  25  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 14 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1600, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 14 to 23 mph increasing
                    to 24 to 26 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-3300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph increasing to 26 to 30 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (83200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  41  51  62  63  70  73  81  75  72  77  81
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  30
Temp............46  46  50  55  62  65  68  68  68  68  68  67
RH..............73  76  69  61  54  49  47  51  51  52  52  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  14  15  18  21  23  23  24  26  26  26  26
20 FT wind gust.21  21  23  29  28  28  30  32  35  35  35  35
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.4 2.3 2.8 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.1 2.8 2.7
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................14 percent increasing to 83 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900, then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 17 to 26 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100-2400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 30 mph decreasing to around 20
                    mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (62600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (19400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........89  92  95  95  96  95  96  94  95  95  94  95
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40  70  70  70  90  90  90  90  90  90  90  90
Temp............65  60  58  55  54  54  53  53  53  52  52  50
RH..............55  66  75  85  89  89  94  94  94  94  91  95
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..26  23  22  21  21  20  18  20  18  17  18  17
20 FT wind gust.36  36  35  35  35  33  32  32  30  29  30  28
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1
Smoke Dispersal.GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
CWR.................88 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 17 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 18 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusts up to 29 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1100-2100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 17 to 20 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........95  92  90  89  87  89  91  93  89  85  81  83
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).90  100 100 100 100 100 100 90  90  90  90  90
Temp............49  49  50  51  53  54  55  56  57  58  58  58
RH..............99  100 100 99  96  93  90  86  84  84  83  82
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..17  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  18  18  18
20 FT wind gust.26  26  24  24  24  23  23  23  23  29  29  29
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...TDK
Requested by...Lane L Ostenson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412389.0/ABR
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lane.ostenson@state.sd.us