Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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574
FNUS51 KBGM 111931
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
330 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

.SYNOPSIS...

Frontal system pushes into the region this evening kicking off
more rain showers. Showers are expected to continue through
Sunday with a brief break Sunday night, before the next frontal
system approaches Monday morning. An active pattern will
continue this week with unsettled weather through at least mid
week.


NYZ210-120800-
Leatherstocking-
330 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     70           60           0            50
Temp (24h trend)      42 (-3)      55 (-2)      40           69
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      59 (+8)      100          48
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 7-11                   S 7-11 G20
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 7-11       S 5-9        S 4-8        S 11-15
Precip Amount         0.14         0.07         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration       6            2                         2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                6 AM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3170                      2900
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  35120                     60090
DSI                   2            2            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     4                         6
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     9-15 strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             34 Fair      36 Fair      20 Gen Poor  39 Fair
ADI late              14 Gen Poor  36 Fair      7 Poor       43 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            6
Max LVORI late        5            3            8            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-120800-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
330 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         Tstms
Chance Precip (%)     80           70           0            40
Temp (24h trend)      41 (-3)      54 (-3)      42           70
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      66 (+11)     100          52
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 5-9                    S 8-12 G19
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 8-12       SE 3-7       S 3-7        S 12-16
Precip Amount         0.28         0.09         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration       8            4                         2
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                6 AM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3150                      3480
Transport Wnd (mph)                S  8                      SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  25010                     80140
DSI                   2            2            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     4                         6
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     1-8 strikes
Haines Index          3            3            3            4
ADI early             39 Fair      22 Fair      18 Gen Poor  40 Fair
ADI late              14 Gen Poor  24 Fair      7 Poor       50 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       5            5            6            6
Max LVORI late        6            4            9            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s. North
winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ044-047-120800-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
330 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           80           20           20
Temp (24h trend)      41 (0)       54 (-3)      41           71
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      66 (+17)     100          45
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 6-10                   S 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 7-11       SE 3-7       S 3-7        S 11-15
Precip Amount         0.23         0.15         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       9            6            0            0
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   9 PM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2360                      3630
Transport Wnd (mph)                SE  8                     SW 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  19070                     78460
DSI                   2            2            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     3                         6
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             42 Gen Good  26 Fair      14 Gen Poor  38 Fair
ADI late              16 Gen Poor  25 Fair      5 Very Poor  53 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            4            9            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs around 70. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
North winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows
around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
60s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around
10 mph.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-120800-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
330 PM EDT Sat May 11 2024

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     80           80           0            20
Temp (24h trend)      41 (+3)      51 (-5)      40           67
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      71 (+24)     100          49
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               SE 6-10                   S 6-10
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 7-11       SE 5-9       Lgt/Var      S 10-14
Precip Amount         0.15         0.19         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       5            7                         0
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing                2 PM
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2080                      3500
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  22840                     65380
DSI                   2            1            1            2
Sunshine Hours                     3                         6
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            3            3
ADI early             33 Fair      36 Fair      16 Gen Poor  38 Fair
ADI late              13 Gen Poor  33 Fair      5 Very Poor  49 Gen Good
Max LVORI early       4            5            7            7
Max LVORI late        5            4            9            2

Remarks: ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by Lavdas.
         LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
North winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs around 70. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.

$$