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000
FNUS74 KBMX 161958
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Joseph Springs C...USFS Shoal Creek
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
258 PM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...

Increasing moisture is expected today ahead of our next frontal boundary.
Generally southerly to southwesterly winds tomorrow, but winds become
more southwesterly during the burn time then back to southerly after the
rain moves through.

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........80     76     80     84     90
Weather cov.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC
CWR.............0      0      30     30     40
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2
Temp............67     73     76     78     76
RH..............65     49     46     45     54
20 FT wind......S 6    SW 7   SW 7   SW 7   SW 6
20 FT wind gust.13     14     13     11     10
20 FT wind dir..200    220    220    220    220
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   3000   3900   3300   1900
Transport wind..SW 14  SW 17  SW 17  SW 14  SW 10
Dispersion idx..15     55     64     56     26
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      2

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........91     89     84     84     69     61
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............40     20     20     20     10     10
LAL.............2      2      1      1      1      1
Temp............75     67     65     64     63     62
RH..............55     81     84     90     90     93
20 FT wind......SW 5   S 3    S 2    S 2    S 1    S 1
20 FT wind gust.8      4      4             2
20 FT wind dir..210    200    190    200    200    190
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   300    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SW 9   SW 7   S 6    SW 6   SW 6   SW 5
Dispersion idx..14     0      3      3      3      2
LVORI...........2      6      6      6      6      8

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........61     63     54     54     29     51
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............10     0      0      0      20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      2      2
Temp............61     65     74     79     82     85
RH..............97     87     71     56     47     41
20 FT wind......SW 1   W 1    N 2    SW 2   SW 3   SW 5
20 FT wind gust.                     4      5      6
20 FT wind dir..220    260    340    240    210    220
Mix hgt (ft)....200    1000   2500   3900   5100   5400
Transport wind..SW 3   SW 3   W 3    SW 6   S 8    S 10
Dispersion idx..2      2      2      28     51     69
LVORI...........8      7      2      2      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Owen
Requested by...Aaron Radford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411133.0/BMX
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0