Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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238
FNUS71 KCTP 010840
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 235 Comp 1...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
440 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on May 01.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Areas of morning clouds and locally dense fog will occur
throughout the valleys of Central Pennsylvania and the
Susquehanna region.

Afterward, a weak ridge of high pressure at the surface
and aloft will build east into the District, bringing
clearing and dry conditions for the midday and afternoon
hours today.

MinRH drops to 25-35% during the afternoon hours today
and Thursday. Westerly winds will likely gust into the mid
teens (mph) on Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 82.
Min Humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing Height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9 to 37.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  14  17  15  12  9   5   5   5   13  14  12  10
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  58  58  61  64  68  71  73  76  78  79  80  80
RH................  93  90  81  73  63  55  46  40  36  34  31  31
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT Wind Gust...                  10  10  10  10  10  10  8   7
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.2 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.7 6.2 6.5 6.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  7   8   8   8   12  13  13  12  10  10  9   9
LVORI.............  6   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   36  36  36  37  37  37  35  35  35
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 57.
Max Humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the evening, then becoming light
                    overnight.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  7   6   3   3   3   8   12  13  10  12  16  20
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  80  77  73  70  67  66  64  63  61  60  59  58
RH................  31  36  41  47  52  54  58  60  65  69  72  75
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   5   4   4               6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  5.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  9   6   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 85.
Min Humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 8 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 53 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  20  20  20  20  19  19  18  16  15  13  11  9
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  59  61  62  67  71  76  78  81  83  83  84  84
RH................  75  72  72  63  57  50  45  38  34  33  32  31
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   7   10  10  12  13  13  13  13  12  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.4 3.9 4.5 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.5
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp Wind Spd...  8   8   8   12  15  16  16  17  17  16  16  15
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   41  41  41  53  53  53  50  50  50
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Lambert
Requested by...Eric Horsh
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412856.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehorsh@pa.gov