532
FNUS28 KWNS 112046
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0344 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024

Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

An amplified southern stream jet and shortwave trough are forecast
to move across the southern US late this weekend into early next
week. Widespread precipitation and thunderstorms are expected from
the southern and central Plains across the central and eastern US
through midweek. Thereafter, West Coast ridging is forecast to
amplify, forcing northwesterly flow aloft, and several weak troughs
over much of the central CONUS through midweek. Wetter than average
and cooler than average conditions appear likely to limit widespread
fire-weather concerns for much of next week. More zonal flow aloft
is forecast to return late next week into the weekend as the ridge
breaks down. Stronger flow aloft may support more widespread dry and
breezy conditions over the southern Great Basin and Desert
Southwest, though confidence in any particular solution at this
range is low.

...Florida Peninsula...
One exception to the forecast widespread rainfall may be across
parts of southern and central FL next week. Developing short-term
drought over the southern half to two-thirds of the FL Peninsula
could lead to critical fire weather conditions next week. Displaced
from the higher rain chances, minimum RH is likely to drop below 40%
daily with temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s F. Dry northerly
winds may increase D5/Wed-D6/Thu as another cold front approaches,
but the expected extent and magnitude of potential critical
conditions remain too low for higher probabilities.

..Lyons.. 05/11/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$