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000
FGUS63 KMSR 011955
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
254 PM CDT WED MAY 01 2013


IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0430 Z DH12 /DC1304301954/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 4/30/2013 - 9/30/2013
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1453.1/ 1453.1/ 1453.2/ 1453.3/ 1453.7/ 1454.4/ 1454.9
:Stump Lake
ESLN8    1453.1/ 1453.1/ 1453.2/ 1453.3/ 1453.7/ 1454.4/ 1454.9
.END

IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0430 Z DH12 /DC1304301954/DRD+6/DVD90/HGVFZNT/HGVFZN9/HGVFZNH
.B1 /HGVFZN5/HGVFZNG/HGVFZN1/HGVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 9/1/2013 - 11/30/2013
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8    1453.3/ 1452.7/ 1451.9/ 1451.3/ 1451.0/ 1450.8/ 1450.7
:Stump Lake
ESLN8    1453.3/ 1452.7/ 1451.9/ 1451.3/ 1451.0/ 1450.8/ 1450.7
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$