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000
FNUS73 KDLH 120949
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Fernberg RAWS...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
449 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 12.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of isolated showers are
expected early this morning. By late morning and early afternoon,
the shower chances dwindle while clouds remain. The limited
sunshine will result in slow improvement in smoke dispersal from
good late this morning to excellent late this afternoon. Winds
will generally be from the northwest at 10 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph. High temperature today will reach the upper 40s.
Minimum humidity will be in the upper 40 percents. Skies gradually
clear overnight. Winds will diminish as well. Low temperature
will be in the middle 20s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 21 mph.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36900-54100 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (105200-110900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  40  42  44  45  46  46  47
RH..............82  76  70  62  60  55  53  49
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  11  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.19  19  20  20  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.8 4.8 5.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  22  23  23  25  26  25  25
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100037  54  68  76  94  111 105 110

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 27.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 12 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 24 mph decreasing to 5 to 12
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (86600 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (1700-8700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............46     42     37     33     31     29
RH..............49     57     70     82     85     88
20 ft wind......NW 11  NW 9   NW 6   NW 5   NW 4   NW 4
20 ft wind gust.20     16     12     9      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   1300   600    800    400    400
Transport wind..NW 24  N 15   N 12   N 9    NW 7   NW 6
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100087     16     6      6      3      2

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to
                    10 mph late in the morning, then shifting to
                    the south 15 to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1500-20400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (33400-51800 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............29     32     42     49     54     55
RH..............88     81     57     50     43     43
20 ft wind......W 3    SW 2   S 3    S 4    S 6    S 6
20 ft wind gust.       5      6      8      9      11
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1300   2300   3000   3200
Transport wind..NW 6   W 5    SW 7   S 10   S 17   S 18
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10002      3      8      20     46     52

$$
Forecaster...Kevin
Requested by...Joe Friedmeyer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410406.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.friemdeyer@usda.gov