Fire Weather Outlook Discussion Issued by NWS
000
FNUS22 KWNS 281848
FWDDY2
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0147 PM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024
Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO...
...19z Update...
Added critical area for parts of eastern NM. Confidence has
increased that more widespread winds of 20-25 mph will overlap with
RH below 10% for several hours Friday afternoon. While some
uncertainty regarding fuel states remains, drying today and delayed
green up in fine fuels west of the Caprock should support some
critical fire-weather risk across parts of eastern NM and
potentially the TX Panhandle. Elsewhere, southwest surface winds and
low humidity should support widespread elevated fire-weather
potential over much of the southern High Plains and into southern
CO. See the previous discussion for more information.
..Lyons.. 03/28/2024
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024/
...Synopsis...
Surface cyclone development is expected across the southern High
Plains as a mid-level trough amplifies across the Southwest tomorrow
(Friday). Downslope flow will increase in the process, with much of
the southern High Plains experiencing widespread 10-15 percent RH
and 15-20 mph sustained westerly surface winds by afternoon peak
heating. Given multiple days of dry and windy conditions, fine fuels
will continue to cure further, supporting at least widespread
"high-end" Elevated conditions, especially over eastern New Mexico
into western Texas. If fuel receptiveness increases at a greater
rate than currently anticipated, Critical highlights may be needed
in future outlooks.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$