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000
FNUS72 KFFC 182037
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for 191...USFS
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
437 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Hey Tim!

Here`s a look at tomorrow with an ignition time of 0800. There are
going to be some isolated lingering showers in the area but a
majority of the thunderstorm/rain activity is expected to stay
north of I-20. Your chance for a wetting rain never gets any
higher than 30% for the day. But with thunderstorms in the area,
you`re likely to see minimum RH values on the higher end of values
I would normally call good burning weather; around 45%.

Winds will be light in the morning and gradually increase to
around 8 mph early in the afternoon out of the west. Thunderstorms
in and around the Oconee could create some gusty and erratic winds
even without any meaningful rainfall. Transport winds will be
favorable all day out of the west at 10 to 15 MPH and as a result
you`ll likely see continual dispersion improvements through the
day.

We`ll have the overnight shift re-run this for you with the latest
data and we`ll make sure we keep an eye on the Oconee RAWS during
the day tomorrow. If you need any other information to plan out
your burn for tomorrow, feel free to give us a call. I`ll be here
all night.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the morning, then chance of
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 30 percent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Dewpoint............65.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (47300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 53 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......9.0 decreasing to 3.5 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........66     65     72     52     54
Weather cov.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC
CWR.............20     30     30     30     30
Temp............65     72     80     84     85
Dewpoint........64     67     67     67     66
RH..............97     84     65     57     52
20 ft wind......SW 2   W 3    W 6    W 7    W 7
20 ft wind gust.3      7      10     12     13
Mix hgt (ft)....200    2100   3400   5500   4600
Transport wind..W 2    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 13
LVORI...........8      4      3      1      1
ADI.............3      18     33     48     53
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      16     28     47     47
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR
Ceiling (kft)...9.0    3.5    3.5    3.5    4.0

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Chance of
                    showers in the evening.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
                    evening.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........98 percent.
Dewpoint............65.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming west around 5 mph
                    late in the evening becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 28.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......4.0 increasing to 25.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........58     69     73     67     47     47
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
CWR.............30     30     30     10     10     10
Temp............85     79     74     69     67     65
Dewpoint........65     66     66     66     65     64
RH..............50     64     77     88     94     98
20 ft wind......W 6    W 3    W 3    W 3    W 3    NW 3
20 ft wind gust.10     7      7      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2300   200    200    200    200    200
Transport wind..W 10   W 5    W 5    W 5    W 5    NW 5
LVORI...........2      3      4      6      6      9
ADI.............28     3      3      3      3      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..36     1      1      1      1      1
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
Ceiling (kft)...4.0    4.0    4.0    15     25     25

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    late in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Dewpoint............62.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 8 mph early
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (56500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 69 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........46     42     51     58     57     60
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     30     30
Temp............64     64     71     79     83     84
Dewpoint........63     63     64     63     61     60
RH..............98     97     77     57     48     44
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 5   NW 6   NW 7   W 8    W 8
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      12     13     13
Mix hgt (ft)....200    200    2400   3600   5200   5300
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 6   NW 9   W 12   W 13   W 13
LVORI...........9      7      3      1      1      1
ADI.............2      5      27     51     69     52
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      21     35     57     55
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   FAIR
Ceiling (kft)...25     25

$$
Forecaster...Ty Vaughn
Requested by...Tim Kolnik
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411254.0/FFC
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL timothy.kolnik@usda.gov