Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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177
FXUS63 KICT 252340
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
540 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 202 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

A surface high pressure system is in place over the region keeping
the winds light and the temperatures near or just below normal for
this time of year. This high pressure will slowly move off to the
East Sunday through Tuesday. This will bring Southerly winds back
into the region allowing a general warming trend to take hold
bringing temperatures back above normal by Monday. Before
temperatures can return to normal levels an upper level
disturbance will move through parts of Central Kansas Sunday
afternoon and overnight. There will enough moisture in the region
and forcing present to allow for a chance for some snow flurries
or a light rain and snow mix through parts of Central and Eastern
Kansas. At this time, do not expect much if any accumulation.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 202 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

Wednesday things start to get interesting again. Moisture
transport will be rather strong in Southeastern Kansas with some
isentropic lift along with strong mid level forcing providing  a
good chance for some light rain across much of Southern and
Southeastern Kansas. Some of this rain could start out as a snow
or rain and snow mix, mainly in Central Kansas. This system looks
to be a rather fast mover so any precipitation that does occur
should be out of the region by Thursday morning. CAA will gain
take over but the air coming in behind this system will be weaker
and will keep temperatures near to above normal for the rest of
the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 540 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

Altostratus cigs expected to develop ahead of a shortwave upper
trof tonight into Sunday morning. The greatest impact will be
across southeast Kansas and the KCNU terminal on Sunday morning
where scattered very light precip, snow to rain, is expected with
cigs lowering to around 5k ft by the afternoon. A weak front will
sag south into central Kansas on Sunday with winds becoming
light.

KED

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 202 PM CST Sat Feb 25 2017

Light winds will keep the Grassland Fire Danger Index to rather
low levels for this weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    30  52  34  57 /  10  10  10  20
Hutchinson      29  51  30  56 /  10  10  10  20
Newton          29  50  32  56 /  10  10  10  20
ElDorado        29  51  33  58 /  10  20  10  20
Winfield-KWLD   30  53  35  59 /  10  10  10  20
Russell         25  49  26  55 /  10   0   0  20
Great Bend      26  50  27  56 /  10   0   0  20
Salina          28  52  28  56 /  20  10   0  10
McPherson       28  51  29  56 /  10  10   0  10
Coffeyville     29  54  35  62 /  10  30  10  20
Chanute         29  51  33  61 /  10  40  10  20
Iola            29  50  33  60 /  10  40  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    29  53  34  62 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...KED
FIRE WEATHER...ELM



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