Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
274
FXUS63 KICT 241129
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
529 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

...Updated for Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday night)
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

Weak low-level isentropic lift will sustain drizzle/freezing
drizzle until around mid-morning, with surface wetbulb freezing
line remaining stationary along the Kansas turnpike. Areas to the
northwest of this line will continue to see light icing
accumulations and we will maintain winter weather advisory through
the morning hours. Otherwise the upper level wave will sweep
eastward across the central plains today with rain chances
increasing for southeast Kansas later this morning and afternoon.
A few embedded thunderstorms will also be possible over far
southeast Kansas. Strong isentropic downglide will spread eastward
across Kansas in the wake of the upper level wave. This will
erode the low clouds from west to east during the afternoon.

Meanwhile water vapor imagery shows a healthy upper level wave
approaching the coastline of Washington/Oregon early this
morning. This wave will race across Kansas on Sunday but dry
weather should prevail due to this system having meager moisture,
as today`s system pushes the deeper moisture well south of Kansas.
A decent warming trend will be in store for Kansas on Sunday and
Monday with above normal temperatures expected.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

Warm above normal temperatures will continue for Tuesday and
Wednesday across the region. Long range models still in good
agreement with next upper level wave moving across the southern
plains on Wednesday. Decent moisture will surge northward ahead of
this system with rain/storm chances possible for mainly south
central/southeast Kansas for Tuesday night into Wednesday. Dry
weather looks to finish out the work week as drier air settles
over the region in the wake of Wednesday`s system. Daytime highs
will be cooler on Thursday but should rebound on Friday with
warmer than normal readings.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 529 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

Widespread LIFR conditions along with areas of drizzle and
freezing drizzle will impact the area this morning. Freezing
drizzle will be most common for mainly RSL and GBD. Meanwhile,
areas of showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms will move
northeast out of Oklahoma, clipping CNU late this morning into
the afternoon. LIFR conditions will improve to IFR and MVFR by
late this morning and this afternoon from west to east, as
westerly winds and associated subsidence spreads east. Clear skies
are expected tonight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Feb 24 2018

Fire weather concerns will remain low for this weekend with moist
conditions from recent drizzle and rain across the area. Conditions
will begin to dry out along with increasing southerly winds on
Monday. This could create very high grassland fire danger levels
across central Kansas Monday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    42  22  53  24 /  50   0   0   0
Hutchinson      42  20  52  23 /  60   0   0   0
Newton          41  22  50  24 /  50   0   0   0
ElDorado        42  24  51  25 /  60  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   45  24  54  25 /  60   0   0   0
Russell         42  18  51  21 /  60   0   0   0
Great Bend      43  18  51  21 /  60   0   0   0
Salina          40  20  51  23 /  60   0   0   0
McPherson       41  20  51  22 /  60   0   0   0
Coffeyville     48  27  56  28 /  90  10   0   0
Chanute         45  26  53  28 /  60  10   0   0
Iola            44  25  52  28 /  70  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    46  25  54  28 /  80  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory until noon CST today for KSZ032-033-
047>052-067-068.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...ADK
FIRE WEATHER...CDJ



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.