Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 231735
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1135 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 207 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

A strong frontal system will begin to approach the region today.
This will allow some good WWA to take place as the winds pick up
from the South.  This will allow temperatures to remain well above
normal for today as the skies will be clear with Southerly winds.
Tuesday, the front will begin to move through the region.  Due to
very weak moisture transport ahead of this system, any precipitation
that occurs is expected to occur in Northern Kansas and Southern
Nebraska. For most of Kansas, this front will come through dry. High
temperatures for Tuesday, on the other hand, will likely occur
early.  High temperatures will be above normal but are expected to
occur around noon on Tuesday for much of central Kansas and then
drop through the afternoon.  Once the front comes through, the winds
will shift to the West and Northwest and will pick up. Wind gusts up
to 30 mph are possible.  Do not see advisory level winds for Tuesday
afternoon and Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 207 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Temperatures will return to normal for a few days as a number of
systems come through.  These systems will not have much if any
moisture transport to help them produce precipitation.  As such,
they will come through dry.  This will keep winds out of the North
for the most part and will keep temperatures closer to normal for a
while.  Temperatures don`t start to climb back above normal until
Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1130 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

Main aviation concern will be some wind shear overnight.

Weak upper ridging is in place with some shortwave energy coming
on shore over southern CA. Ahead of this wave, surface low
pressure is strengthening over eastern CO/far western KS. SW winds
just off of the surface will increase overnight to the 35-40kts
range which will create some speed shear through sunrise Tue. At
this point it appears the better low cloud and fog chances will
remain over northeast KS. So will keep with VFR conditions area
wide through Tue afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    55  38  59  30 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      55  35  57  28 /   0   0  10  10
Newton          54  36  56  28 /   0   0  10  10
ElDorado        55  37  59  30 /   0   0  10   0
Winfield-KWLD   56  39  62  30 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         54  32  50  25 /   0   0  10  10
Great Bend      54  34  52  26 /   0   0  10  10
Salina          54  35  55  29 /   0   0  10  10
McPherson       54  35  56  28 /   0   0  10  10
Coffeyville     55  38  66  33 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         53  36  64  32 /   0   0  10  10
Iola            52  36  63  32 /   0   0  10  10
Parsons-KPPF    54  37  65  32 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...RBL


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