Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 081736
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1136 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 222 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

A trough axis will move across the area early in the period shifting
winds to the northwest with rising heights/increasing thickness in
it`s wake. This will support rising temperatures as we move through
the day today. Abundant mid clouds/virga will be present early in
the period, but the lower half of the column appears to dry for any
flurries to reach the ground.

Sat-Sun...Northwest mid/upper flow will prevail through the period
bringing dry weather conditions and moderating temperatures. The H85
thermal ridge will expand eastward on Sunday with highs topping out
in the mid and upper 60s for much of the area.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 222 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

The models remain in reasonable agreement through the extended
periods with a northwest mid/upper flow regime persisting across the
central Conus. This is a dry pattern for the central Conus although
a couple of fropas may usher in cooler air and breezy conditions
likely elevating the grassland fire danger periodically through the
week as we remain quite dry across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

A surface trough moving south/southeast across the area today is
causing surface winds to shift to a more north/northwesterly
direction. This wind shift has not yet occurred in southeast
Kansas, but is expected to occur during the afternoon and early
evening Friday. Despite clearing in cloud cover near the beginning
of the TAF period, some mid-level clouds will make their way in
from the north this afternoon, primarily affecting SLN but could
move slightly further south. With that being said, cigs should
remain in the VFR category. Overnight tonight and into Saturday
morning, remaining clouds should begin to dissipate as winds
remain predominately out of the northwest.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    44  26  47  26 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      44  26  48  25 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          43  25  45  26 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        43  25  44  26 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   45  25  47  26 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         45  25  50  25 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      45  25  50  26 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          44  26  46  26 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       42  25  46  24 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     44  24  44  24 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         42  25  42  24 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            42  25  41  24 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    43  24  43  24 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...TAV



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