Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 181937
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
137 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday night)
Issued at 137 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Rather tranquil weather leading up to the Thanksgiving holiday.
Clearing will continue to progress eastward in the wake of the
departing upper trof this evening with diminishing winds as well.
However, will continue Wind Advisory until expiration late this
afternoon, as current and recent wind speeds were still at or
near criteria in parts of central and southeast Kansas. A sunny
and seasonably cool day is expected on Sunday with a return of a
modest southwest wind. A weak upper trof will migrate across the
area on Monday with a continued south-southwest low level flow
moderating temperatures to seasonably mild levels across central
and southeast Kansas. A more significant upper trof will drop
southeast from south central Canada across the Upper Midwest/Great
Lakes Monday night/Tuesday. This will push a cold front south
across Kansas with cooler air later in the day into Tuesday night
though no precip is expected.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 137 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

A strong anomalous high centered near Baja California with upper
ridging across the western CONUS will prevail from mid-week thru
Thanksgiving day with a mean trof over the eastern CONUS. This will
place Kansas in relatively dry north-northwest flow aloft.
Temperature should moderate after a chilly Wednesday with highs
several degrees above climo for Thanksgiving day.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1150 AM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

NW winds sustained ~25kts with 30-35kt gusts are likely across all
terminals until late this afternoon (~22Z) as an intense surface
cyclone that at 17Z is centered over the IN/OH border, lifts E/NE
across NY. As the cyclone continues its E/NE jaunt, the NW winds
will rapidly diminish from 22-23Z to 7-13kts. The widespread MVFR
cigs that have covered most of Central & Ern KS this morning will
clear the KS/MO border ~20Z. Excellent weather slated for all
areas from late this afternoon onward.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 137 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

Although winds will not be as strong Sunday and Monday, occasional
gusts in the afternoon and lower daytime humidity levels may
result in a few hours of very high grassland fire danger.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    29  58  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      27  59  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          28  57  35  61 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        29  57  36  61 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   30  58  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         25  61  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      25  60  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          27  60  35  64 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       26  59  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     31  57  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         30  56  36  61 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            30  55  36  60 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    30  56  36  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 4 PM CST this afternoon for KSZ032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...EPS
FIRE WEATHER...KED



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