Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42
000
FXUS63 KICT 090535
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1135 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday night)
Issued at 210 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

Tonight:
Another batch of low clouds will exit the area before daybreak
Saturday. This will make overnight temperatures a bit tricky, with
western sections potentially on the edge of clouds and
temperatures dropping quickly this evening, while clouds in the
east hold temperatures up. Situation reverses towards daybreak as
increase downslope flow develops in the west and skies clear in
the east.

Saturday-Sunday:
Downslope flow, very dry air and decent mixing should allow big
rebound in temperatures. Bumped them up a bit both days, but may
not be warm enough depending on downslope component on winds,
especially on Sunday. Flow may be a bit lighter on Sunday, but
pretty much ideal downslope component and warming temperatures
aloft will aid the warmup.

Monday:
Downslope flow and dry airmass continues. With stronger winds
associated with front moving through and good mixing, fire risk
will be elevated. Temperatures could be tricky given uncertain
westward extent of colder air. -Howerton

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Friday)
Issued at 210 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

Medium range models in good agreement with long wave pattern
during this period. Only concern will be series of weak waves
moving through northwest flow. Does not appear to be any major
surge of colder air, with mainly grazing shots in Southeast KS.
Barring a stronger clipper, the northwest flow will likely keep
temperatures at or above normal throughout the period. -Howerton

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday night)
Issued at 1135 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Ketcham

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 210 PM CST Fri Dec 8 2017

Main concern at this time is red flag potential on Monday. Gusty
northwest winds will mix down with cold front moving through.
Given very dry airmass, forecast GFDI values are near red flag
criteria over much of Central KS in the afternoon. -Howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    25  51  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Hutchinson      24  51  28  65 /   0   0   0   0
Newton          24  49  26  62 /   0   0   0   0
ElDorado        25  48  25  62 /   0   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   25  50  26  64 /   0   0   0   0
Russell         22  53  30  66 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      23  53  29  67 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          26  51  27  65 /   0   0   0   0
McPherson       23  51  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Coffeyville     25  47  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Chanute         25  45  24  58 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            25  44  24  58 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    23  46  23  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PJH
LONG TERM...PJH
AVIATION...KETCHAM
FIRE WEATHER...PJH



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.