Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 301741
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1241 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

...UPDATED FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1151 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

UPDATED TO DROP HIGHS TODAY A FEW DEGREES.

BASED ON TRENDS WENT AHEAD AND DROPPED HIGHS TODAY A COUPLE
DEGREES AREA WIDE WITH THE BIGGEST CHANGE COMING FOR EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE CLOUDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH
MOST OF THE DAY.

LAWSON

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

A STABLE POST-FRONTAL AIRMASS HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT
IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. THIS IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A PERIOD
OF BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. HIGHS TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S/LOW 70S
WHILE NORMAL HIGHS ARE IN THE LOW 80S.  AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...LOWS MAY FALL INTO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. NORMAL LOWS FOR LATE MAY ARE AROUND 60.

SUN-MON...TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO REBOUND ON SUNDAY AS
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RETURNS TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS RESULTING
IN SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. A MID/UPPER RIDGE IS PROGGED TO AMPLIFY
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AREA WHILE NORTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THE MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT
BRINGING A SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTO THE AREA LATE SUNDAY AND MAINTAINED
LOW POPS MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING WHERE SOME ELEVATED STORMS COULD DEVELOP. SOME LINGERING
CLOUDS ON MON MAY KEEP HIGHS FROM CLIMBING OUT OF THE LOW-MID 70S IN
SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

THE LONGER RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A
PATTERN CHANGE FOR THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH A RETURN TO MID/UPPER
RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS STATES. THIS SHOULD
SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A TREND TOWARD DRIER WEATHER.
THERE IS SOME CONCERN FOR DIURNAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TUE-FRI BUT BETTER CHANCES MAY REMAIN
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1234 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2015

MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE LOWER CEILINGS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ONE UPPER IMPULSE IS APPROACHING THE OHIO VALLEY WITH THE LAST
PIECE OF ENERGY FINALLY SLIDING ACROSS KS. THE COLD FRONT SWEPT
THROUGH THE AREA LAST NIGHT AND IS NOW SITUATED OVER SOUTH TX WITH
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR SPILLING-IN FROM THE NORTH. MVFR CEILINGS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN EAST OF I-135 THROUGH THE DAY AND SHOULD
COME BACK IN TONIGHT. KICT WILL BE ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE
LOWER CEILINGS AND FOR NOW GOING WITH THE THINKING THEY WILL COME
BACK IN TONIGHT. SOME LIGHT FOG MAY ALSO AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND
EAST OF I-135 LATE TONIGHT...BUT WITH NORTH AND NORTHEAST WINDS
DO NOT EXPECT DENSE FOG. SHOULD SEE MUCH MORE SUNSHINE ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA SUN AS SUBSIDENCE FINALLY SETS IN.

LAWSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    67  52  75  56 /  10   0  10  10
HUTCHINSON      68  49  76  56 /  10   0   0  20
NEWTON          66  49  72  54 /  10   0  10  10
ELDORADO        65  51  75  54 /  10   0  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   67  51  76  55 /  10   0  10  10
RUSSELL         67  47  76  56 /   0   0   0  20
GREAT BEND      68  48  76  57 /   0   0   0  20
SALINA          66  50  75  56 /  10   0   0  20
MCPHERSON       67  48  73  55 /  10   0   0  20
COFFEYVILLE     65  53  75  52 /  10   0  10  10
CHANUTE         64  52  73  52 /  10   0  10  10
IOLA            64  53  72  53 /  10   0  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    64  52  74  53 /  10   0  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.