Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 171948
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
248 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

ANOTHER PLEASANT WEATHER DAY WILL BE IN STORE FOR KANSAS ON
SATURDAY...AS WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE AREA AND THE STAR SHINING BRIGHTLY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
A BIT MORE ON SUNDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS INCREASING.
MEANWHILE...CURRENT SATELLITE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER
LEVEL WAVE APPROACHING THE WEST COAST. THIS WAVE WILL MOVE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THEN DIVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. WE SHOULD SEE INCREASING
CLOUDS AHEAD OF THIS WAVE FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING...WITH MID-LEVEL LIFT GENERATING SOME RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS
MAINLY SOUTHEAST KANSAS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SLIDE
SOUTHWARD ACROSS KANSAS ON MONDAY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE.
TEMPERATURE AFFECTS FROM THIS FRONT WILL BE MINIMAL WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS REMAINING AROUND NEAR NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

MODELS SHOW A SECOND UPPER LEVEL WAVE MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS
THE ROCKIES FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...BUT THE PRECIPITATION
SIGNAL IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT AS MOISTURE RETURN LOOKS LIMITED AND
MODELS SHOWING UPPER LEVEL WAVE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES OUT INTO THE
PLAINS. THEREFORE WE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS UNTIL
WE SEE A BETTER SIGNAL. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL REMAIN AROUND NORMAL OR
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1213 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  COULD SEE A FEW MID CLOUDS WISP BY BUT NOT ENOUGH TO
MENTION IN ANY TAFS.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    43  66  46  73 /   0   0   0  10
HUTCHINSON      40  64  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          41  64  44  71 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        43  65  44  72 /   0   0   0  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   45  66  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         38  63  46  73 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      39  63  46  74 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          40  63  45  72 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       40  64  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     44  64  44  70 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         43  63  43  69 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            43  63  42  69 /   0   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    44  64  43  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$







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