Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 160937
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
337 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tonight)
Issued at 335 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Forecast highlights the next 7 days: Powerful storm system
exiting the region today, mostly dry and above normal temperatures
this week, increasing precipitation chances this weekend.

Widespread precipitation with embedded claps of thunder will come
to an end from south to north this morning, as a stout mid- level
dry slot associated with the powerful Mid-America storm system
moves overhead. However, low-level lift and saturation will
continue, so expect patchy areas of drizzle in its wake. Most
precipitation this morning will fall as rain. However, areas of
freezing rain and freezing drizzle, and perhaps some sleet, will
persist for locations generally northwest of Pratt-Lyons-Salina
where temperatures are at or just below freezing. Consequently,
thinking additional ice accumulations of 0.10-0.25" are possible
generally northwest of Pratt-Lyons-Salina, mainly on elevated
surfaces such as tree limbs, powerlines, etc. The marginal
temperatures should keep most treated roads ice-free. Will extend
the ice storm warning until noon for Rice, Ellsworth, Lincoln,
Barton and Russell counties. Areas of light precipitation will
linger through early evening over central Kansas, but additional
amounts will be fairly light.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 335 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

Otherwise, with the exception of a cooler Tuesday, quiet weather
and above normal temperatures will prevail this week. Expecting
daytime temperatures mostly in the 50s Wednesday through Saturday.
The next chance for precipitation will arrive Saturday evening
through Sunday night, as model consensus supports another digging
western CONUS trough. For the most part, temperatures look warm
enough to keep precipitation type mostly rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

Main Aviation Hazards:
Freezing rain potential in west-central through north-central
Kansas overnight into Monday morning, LIFR conditions area-wide
tonight into Monday morning, and a low-level wind shear threat at
the ICT and CNU terminals overnight into mid morning Monday.

There is a decent possibility that ceilings will climb into the
MVFR range Monday afternoon in south-central/southeast Kansas,
behind the surface low track as winds become west-southwesterly.
Otherwise, will maintain IFR in central Kansas.

Areas of fog or drizzle (possibly dense at times), could impact
areas along/SE of the KS Turnpike overnight into mid morning
mainly during rain-free periods. A south-southeasterly 50 KT low-
level jet, combined with light easterly surface winds, will result
in low-level wind shear at the ICT and CNU terminals during the
overnight/early morning hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    39  29  45  29 /  70  10   0   0
Hutchinson      35  28  43  27 /  80  10   0   0
Newton          38  29  43  28 /  80  10   0   0
ElDorado        42  30  45  29 /  70  10   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   43  30  46  29 /  60  10   0   0
Russell         33  26  40  25 / 100  20   0   0
Great Bend      33  27  41  26 / 100  20   0   0
Salina          35  28  41  26 / 100  20   0   0
McPherson       35  28  42  27 /  90  20   0   0
Coffeyville     55  34  47  30 /  60  10   0   0
Chanute         53  33  45  29 /  80  10   0   0
Iola            52  33  45  29 /  90  10   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    54  33  46  30 /  70  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Ice Storm Warning until noon CST today for KSZ032-033-047-048-
050.

Ice Storm Warning until 6 AM CST early this morning for KSZ049-
051-067.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ADK
LONG TERM...ADK
AVIATION...JMC


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