Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FXUS63 KICT 310753
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
253 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

FOG EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE AREA WITH SOME PATCHY
DENSE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST KANSAS...HOWEVER NOT
EXPECTING WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WITH THIS MORNINGS SETUP BEING LESS
FAVORABLE COMPARED TO SUNDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE WARM ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS PERIOD AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MAINTAINS
ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTH WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE
ESPECIALLY FOR TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...AS SURFACE TROUGH AXIS DEEPENS
OVER WESTERN KANSAS AND RESULTANT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS
TIGHTENS ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN KANSAS. A UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS NEBRASKA FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
CAUSE MID-LEVEL WINDS TO VEER OUT WITH SOME ELEVATED WARM/MOIST
ADVECTION FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL
KANSAS...THIS COULD SPARK OFF A FEW ELEVATED SHOWERS/STORMS.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 250 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL
ACROSS THE REGION THIS PERIOD...WITH A DRY WEATHER PATTERN
MAINTAINING UNTIL PERHAPS SUNDAY NIGHT OR NEXT MONDAY. LONG RANGE
MODELS SHOW A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TRYING TO PUSH SOUTHWARD INTO
KANSAS ON SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY NEXT WEEK.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1140 PM CDT SUN AUG 30 2015

UPPER RIDGE ALOFT WILL REMAIN ANCHORED JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
AREA THROUGH MONDAY. A RATHER MOIST BOUNDARY LATER WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE ACROSS EASTERN KANSAS TONIGHT WITH FOG EXPECTED AGAIN
TOWARD DAWN. CONFIDENCE ON MVFR VSBYS IS HIGH WITH MODEST
CONFIDENCE FOR IFR. PATCHY LIFR VSBYS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
THOUGH BETTER CHANCES AND COVERAGE SHOULD BE JUST NORTH OR
NORTHEAST OF THE WICHITA FORECAST AREA. OTHERWISE LIGHT SOUTHEAST
FLOW WILL CONTINUE WITH A MODEST SOUTHERLY FLOW DEVELOPING BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

KED

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    92  70  93  72 /  10  10  10  10
HUTCHINSON      93  70  94  72 /   0  10  10  10
NEWTON          91  69  92  72 /  10  10  10  10
ELDORADO        90  69  91  71 /  10  10  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   92  70  93  71 /  10  10  10  10
RUSSELL         94  67  95  73 /   0  10  10  20
GREAT BEND      94  68  95  73 /   0  10  10  20
SALINA          93  68  94  73 /   0  10  10  10
MCPHERSON       93  69  94  72 /   0  10  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     90  69  91  70 /  10  10  10  10
CHANUTE         89  69  90  70 /  10  10  10  10
IOLA            89  69  90  70 /  10  10  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    89  69  90  70 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$


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