Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KICT 222016
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
216 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

A shortwave trough over the Lower Mississippi Valley area today is
progged to move east and northeast over the Southeastern U.S.
through tonight. A ridge of high pressure will build over the area
in the wake of the trough with light winds and clearing skies. This
will lead to good radiational cooling as wind speeds drop off with
lows falling into the low to mid 20s for some locations.

Mon-Tue...A mid/upper ridge will build over the central CONUS on Mon
while another vigorous trough builds into the Central Great
Basin/Southwest states. Low pressure is progged to deepen over the
Central High Plains resulting in breezy southeast winds across much
of Kansas on Mon into early Tue. This will help drive temperatures
into the mid and upper 50s on Mon. The mid/upper trough will move
over the Rockies and into the Central Plains of Nebraska on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, a cold front will extend south of the low moving across
Kansas during the day on Tue. This will result in a wide range of
temperatures ranging from the low 60s over southeast KS to the upper
40s across much of central KS. Other than a few flurries, the bulk
of the qpf is expected to remain north of the forecast area.

Wed...Breezy northwest winds and low level cold air advection in the
wake of the front will result in seasonably cool conditions with
highs in the upper 30s and lower 40s for most locations.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 215 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Dry and quiet weather conditions will prevail across the area
through the upcoming weekend as low level moisture is shunted well
south of the area. Temperatures will remain near climate normals
through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1154 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Aviation concerns will be minimal through the next 24 hours.

Deep upper low is currently spinning over southern AR with the
wrap around precip about ready to exit far southeast KS. Northerly
surface flow will setup tonight with high confidence in VFR
conditions. Northerly winds will be short-live as winds flip back
around to the south by early Mon afternoon ahead of our next
shortwave.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    29  55  39  58 /   0   0   0  10
Hutchinson      26  55  38  55 /   0   0   0  10
Newton          28  54  39  55 /   0   0   0  10
ElDorado        26  55  40  58 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   27  56  41  61 /   0   0   0  10
Russell         24  54  35  49 /   0   0   0  10
Great Bend      24  54  36  51 /   0   0   0  10
Salina          26  54  37  53 /   0   0   0  10
McPherson       27  54  37  54 /   0   0   0  10
Coffeyville     30  55  41  63 /   0   0   0  10
Chanute         29  53  39  61 /   0   0   0  10
Iola            29  52  39  60 /   0   0   0  10
Parsons-KPPF    29  54  40  62 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...MWM
LONG TERM...MWM
AVIATION...RBL


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.