Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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115
FXUS63 KICT 270511
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1111 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1257 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

A weak short wave will move through the region Monday. Moisture
transport is rather weak but there will be enough moisture and
lift to allow form scattered light rain across much of South
Central and Southeast Kansas. Further to the North in Central
Kansas, the moisture in the area with light winds Tuesday morning
may produce some patchy fog.

The next weather maker will come through on Tuesday afternoon and
overnight. This system is much stronger than the shortwave coming
through Monday night. Moisture transport is decent but the low
and mid level forcing is impressive for this time of year. Shower
activity is likely with some isolated thunderstorms also possible
during the early morning hours Wednesday in Southeast Kansas as
the front passes. Since the front is expected to pass during the
morning hours, Wednesday`s highs will occur in the morning as
temperatures will fall quickly. Many areas of Central Kansas are
likely to get some light snow as the precipitation ends. Little to
no accumulation is expected at this time as the system is
expected move out of the region rather quick.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 1257 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

The long range looks to be rather quiet as a high pressure system
will build into the region behind Wednesday`s weather system.
Temperatures will slowly climb and remain above normal for the
remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1111 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

A light southeast surface wind flow will develop across the area
tonight, increasing from the south during Monday. Isentropic lift
toward dawn will deepen through the low levels during Monday
morning resulting in development and northward expansion of
stratus cigs and patchy fog. Confidence remains high on mainly
MVFR category. Widely scattered showers are possible in the late
afternoon and evening across southeast Kansas.

KED

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 409 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Winds will pick up significantly for Wednesday which will bring
the fire danger up into the very high category. However, the
expected precipitation will temper the Grassland Fire Danger Index
and will keep it below the extreme category.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    34  59  46  69 /  10  20  10  10
Hutchinson      30  58  43  64 /  10  10   0  10
Newton          32  58  44  65 /  10  20  10  10
ElDorado        34  59  47  70 /  10  20  10  10
Winfield-KWLD   36  60  47  72 /  10  20  10  10
Russell         26  58  36  57 /   0  10   0  10
Great Bend      27  58  39  59 /   0  10   0  10
Salina          28  58  42  61 /   0  10   0  20
McPherson       29  58  42  63 /   0  10   0  20
Coffeyville     36  63  52  76 /  10  30  10  20
Chanute         32  62  50  73 /  10  30  10  20
Iola            31  62  50  73 /  10  30  10  20
Parsons-KPPF    34  63  52  74 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ELM
LONG TERM...ELM
AVIATION...KED
FIRE WEATHER...ELM



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