Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 281729
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1229 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

Progressively drier low level air will accompany the more
tolerable temperatures across central and eastern Kansas this
weekend. The main challenge will be precip chances/trends Saturday
night and Sunday. For today and Saturday, the drier northeast to
easterly low level flow and progged thickness values support max
temperatures close to or perhaps just a bit shy of 90F, which is a
few degrees below late July climo. By Saturday night and Sunday,
a shortwave upper trof with a monsoonal tap emerges on the north
side of the ridge axis aloft, moving from Colorado across western
and central Kansas. Despite the drier/more stable low levels, the
increasingly moist/relatively cooler mid-levels and associated
lift should support some elevated convection across central Kansas
to perhaps as far east as the Kansas turnpike on Sunday. The
increasing clouds should also limit the diurnal rise and have
trimmed maximum temperatures a few degrees into the lower 80s.

Darmofal

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 236 AM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

The medium range solutions support a general amplification of
the mean western CONUS ridge and likewise the eastern CONUS
trof by the middle to latter part of next week. This looks to
keep the area mainly dry with temperatures averaging slightly
below climo.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1228 PM CDT Fri Jul 28 2017

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.  Will see some
diurnally driven CU around 3500 ft agl for the afternoon hours, but
this cloud deck will quickly diminish during the early evening
hours.

Ketcham

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    89  69  88  66 /  10   0   0  10
Hutchinson      89  68  88  64 /   0   0  10  10
Newton          88  67  87  64 /   0   0   0  10
ElDorado        87  68  86  63 /   0   0   0  10
Winfield-KWLD   90  69  89  65 /  10   0   0  10
Russell         89  67  87  65 /   0  10  20  40
Great Bend      89  67  87  65 /   0  10  20  40
Salina          90  66  89  65 /   0   0  10  10
McPherson       88  67  87  64 /   0   0  10  10
Coffeyville     88  67  87  64 /  10   0   0   0
Chanute         88  65  86  62 /   0   0   0   0
Iola            86  64  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    88  66  86  63 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KED
LONG TERM...KED
AVIATION...Ketcham



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