Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 011550
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
950 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 944 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

LINGERING MID-LEVEL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH IMPRESSIVE SHORTWAVE
PROGRESSING ACROSS NEBRASKA AND NORTHERN KANSAS WILL SUPPORT
CONTINUED LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES THROUGH ABOUT NOON/EARLY AFTERNOON
FOR LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG/NORTH OF I-70 CORRIDOR. ADDITIONAL
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT...GENERALLY A FEW TENTHS OR
LESS. OTHERWISE...TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT ON BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING
LOW PRESSURE WILL SUPPORT STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY...ALONG WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND COLD TEMPERATURES.

ADK

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

THE STRONG POLAR COLD FRONT HAS BEGUN TO AFFECT WESTERN PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW
FROM RUSSELL TO PRATT. THIS WINTRY PRECIP ELONGATED ALONG THE
FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST THROUGH DAWN...WITH BEST CHANCE FOR A
DUSTING TO AROUND ONE-HALF INCH SNOW ACCUMS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
TO THE NORTH OF GREATER WICHITA. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMS MAY ALSO
OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING ACROSS THE FLINT HILLS TO THE
NORTHEAST OF GREATER WICHITA...WITH MAINLY LINGERING FLURRIES INTO
THE EARLY AFTERNOON EAST OF THE TURNPIKE. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN
WEATHER STORY TODAY WILL BE THE STRONG NORTH WINDS AND MUCH COLDER
AIR WHICH WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA. THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORY
AREAL OUTLINE LOOKS GOOD...THOUGH SOME LOCALES MAY EXCEED CRITERIA
A COUPLE HOURS EARLY ALONG/WEST OF I-135. BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES
AND LOW WIND CHILLS ARE STILL EXPECTED TONIGHT AS SKIES CLEAR AND
WINDS BECOME LIGHT WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SETTLING OVER THE
AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN CHILLY ON MONDAY WITH MUCH WARMER
READINGS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY.

DARMOFAL

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

MEDIUM RANGE PROGNOSTICS STILL SUPPORT POLAR AIR SETTLING SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN CHALLENGE IS CHANCES FOR A
LIGHT PRECIP/SNOW EVENT. TRANSIENT LIFT ALONG A MID-LEVEL
BAROCLINIC SHORTWAVE MAY PROVIDE SOME LIGHT SNOW...THOUGH ANY
ACCUMS LOOK TO BE VERY LIGHT. THE COLD AIR WILL HOLD SWAY INTO
THURSDAY BEFORE RIDGING ALOFT AND BETTER DOWNSLOPE FLOW LATE IN
THE WEEK ALLOW A MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURE REGIME TO DEVELOP AGAIN
ACROSS KANSAS.

KED

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 540 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

IFR CIGS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST WITH MVFR
PREVAILING BY 15Z AND GRADUALLY IMPROVING TO VFR BY EARLY
AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF
THE FRONT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 KNOTS ANTICIPATED THROUGH MUCH
OF THE AFTERNOON. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE
REGION TONIGHT BRINGING DIMINISHING WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    34  11  35  24 /  50   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      31   8  35  23 /  30   0   0   0
NEWTON          33   9  34  23 /  50  10   0   0
ELDORADO        35  10  34  23 /  50  10   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   37  11  35  24 /  50  10   0   0
RUSSELL         26   8  39  24 /  20   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      27   9  39  25 /  20   0   0   0
SALINA          29   7  35  23 /  40  10  10   0
MCPHERSON       30   7  34  23 /  30   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     41  13  33  23 /  60  10   0   0
CHANUTE         39  11  32  22 /  60  10   0   0
IOLA            39  11  31  22 /  60  10   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    39  11  33  23 /  60  10   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ032-033-047>053-
067>070-082-083-091>094-098.

&&

$$



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