Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 311141
AFDICT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
641 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

...UPDATED FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

NOTICEABLY COLDER AIR AND GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL AFFECT THE REGION
TODAY AS CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AND COMBINED WITH COLD
DRY AIR WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR PREMIUM RADIATIONAL COOLING...WITH
OVERNIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE 20S
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY ON
SATURDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS UP OVER KANSAS...HOWEVER
THE COOL AIR AND WINDS WILL MAKE FOR BRISK WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH OUT THE DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR NORMAL ON SUNDAY
AS AIRMASS GRADUALLY MODIFIES AND SOUTH WINDS WILL BECOME QUITE
STRONG AND COULD REACH WIND ADVISORY LEVELS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL SETUP OVER THE ROCKIES FOR
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...WHICH SHOULD BRING RAIN/ISOLATED STORM CHANCES
TO THE REGION AS GULF MOISTURE STREAMS NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH RAIN CHANCES TAPERING OFF.
QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE HEARTLAND.

JAKUB

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 640 AM CDT FRI OCT 31 2014

A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS MOST OF KANSAS EARLY
TODAY...WITH NORTH-NORTHEAST GUSTY WINDS TO 25 KTS. AS THIS FRONT
PUSHES SOUTH...A LINE OF POST FRONTAL MVFR CIGS WILL PUSH SOUTH WITH
CIGS AROUND 2000 TO 2500 FEET AGL. THIS MVFR CLOUD DECK WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH FOR THE MORNING HOURS...BECOMING SCATTERED AS
THE MORNING PROGRESSES.

EXPECT THE SKIES TO CLEAR AS THE LATER AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING
PROGRESSES WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

KETCHAM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    49  25  53  40 /   0   0   0   0
HUTCHINSON      47  25  53  39 /   0   0   0   0
NEWTON          46  24  52  38 /   0   0   0   0
ELDORADO        48  23  53  38 /   0   0   0   0
WINFIELD-KWLD   50  25  54  40 /   0   0   0   0
RUSSELL         46  27  55  40 /   0   0   0   0
GREAT BEND      47  28  55  40 /   0   0   0   0
SALINA          46  24  53  39 /   0   0   0   0
MCPHERSON       45  24  53  39 /   0   0   0   0
COFFEYVILLE     49  22  52  37 /   0   0   0   0
CHANUTE         47  21  50  37 /   0   0   0   0
IOLA            46  21  50  37 /   0   0   0   0
PARSONS-KPPF    48  22  51  37 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CDT SATURDAY FOR
KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

$$



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