Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
142 FNUS72 KILM 111208 FWSILM Spot Forecast for MOTSU V1.2...US ARMY National Weather Service Wilmington NC 808 AM EDT Sat May 11 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 11. If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374. .DISCUSSION... Dry conditions with seasonable temperatures will be in place across the area the next several days. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 6 mph late in the morning, then becoming light early in the afternoon becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. Max mixing hgt......4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 9 to 10 mph late in the afternoon. Max vent rate.......Fair (49507 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........3. Max ADI.............63. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........16 8 4 4 5 11 17 21 25 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............62 65 68 70 71 72 71 71 71 RH..............74 65 57 53 51 50 52 52 53 20 FT wind dir..N N N N NE SE S S S 20 FT wind spd..4 6 6 4 3 4 4 5 6 20 FT wind gust.8 11 10 7 6 7 8 8 9 Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.0 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.6 4.3 3.5 3.4 Transp wind dir.N N N N NW NW W SW W Transp wind spd.17 16 13 12 10 9 10 10 9 Stability.......A B B A A A A A B LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............61 60 58 63 61 53 57 46 39 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Vrate mph-ft/1K.47 48 48 50 49 43 45 36 32 Ventrate Cat....FR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...985 985 987 987 987 984 984 984 981 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 59. Max humidity........81 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening becoming light. Min mixing hgt......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph. Min vent rate.......Poor (4350 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........4. Min ADI.............5. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........19 12 8 6 4 3 7 11 15 14 13 12 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............70 69 67 65 64 64 63 63 63 62 62 61 RH..............55 59 64 69 72 74 76 77 78 78 80 81 20 FT wind dir..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 20 FT wind gust.8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 2.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 12 12 13 14 16 16 16 17 Stability.......A F F F F F F F F F F F LVORI...........1 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 ADI.............43 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.34 25 5 4 5 5 5 6 8 7 7 9 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...981 981 983 983 983 986 986 986 984 984 984 983 $$ Forecaster...Baker Requested by...TK Crawford Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413760.0/ILM .DELDT 05/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL trent.k.crawford.civ@army.mil