Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 300154
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Spot Forecast for Paynes Prairie Basin burn 4/30/2024...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
954 PM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 EDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Clear conditions and calming winds through tonight with a potential
for showers and possible isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday in
association with convection developing along a weak frontal
boundary moving into the area from out of the west with formations
most likely in the afternoon. Surface winds will shift about to
become more out of the west on Tuesday.


.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  12  18  23  27  27  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............69  67  66  65  65  64  63
RH..............78  84  87  90  93  97  97
Heat index (F)..69  67  66  65  65  64  63
Wind chill (F)..69  67  66  65  65  64  63
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.16  14  13  10  9   9   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  12  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..10  9   8   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........4   4   5   6   6   7   7

.TUESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  36  37  34  35  40  40  50  44  43  40  34
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RN  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
Temp............63  63  65  70  75  79  82  84  86  86  86  85
RH..............97  100 97  84  74  62  56  51  48  48  48  50
Heat index (F)..63  63  65  70  75  79  84  85  87  87  87  86
Wind chill (F)..63  63  65  70  75  79  82  84  86  86  86  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   10  10  10  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.8 2.6 3.6 5.0 5.8 6.6 6.1 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..5   6   14  30  38  47  56  57  60  57  57  55
LVORI...........8   8   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........27  22  21  40  27  13  12  11  10  11  12  14
Weather cov.....                                        PTY PTY
Weather type....                                        FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............85  83  80  76  74  71  69  68  66  65  65  64
RH..............50  55  62  71  76  84  90  90  97  100 97  100
Heat index (F)..86  85  82  76  74  71  69  68  66  65  65  64
Wind chill (F)..85  83  80  76  74  71  69  68  66  65  65  64
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   9   7   6   6   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..40  23  4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   7   9

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  18  20  18  16  14  13  11  10  12  13  15
Weather cov.....PTY                             CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG                             RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3
Temp............65  65  66  71  75  80  82  85  87  87  86  86
RH..............100 100 100 87  79  69  63  57  52  52  51  51
Heat index (F)..65  65  66  71  75  83  85  88  90  90  88  88
Wind chill (F)..65  65  66  71  75  80  82  85  87  87  86  86
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   6   7   9   10  10  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.8 5.5 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  10
Dispersion idx..2   2   6   16  32  49  58  68  76  74  70  65
LVORI...........9   9   9   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Corless
Requested by...Park Manager
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412740.0/JAX
.DELDT 04/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.patton@dep.state.fl.us