Spot Forecast Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ
000
FNUS71 KPHI 241315
FWSPHI
Spot Forecast for Ponders Unit 5...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
915 AM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will cross our region during today, then high pressure
arrives from the Great Lakes later tonight and Thursday before
shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front
should lift north of our area later Saturday, then a cold front
gradually approaches later Monday before moving across our area
later Tuesday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming mostly
sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers in the
late morning and early afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (109500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (106300
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
ADI.................41 early in the morning increasing to 138 in
the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96 93 80 67 45 40 32 32
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............62 64 67 68 70 71 70 70
RH..............60 56 49 45 39 38 38 36
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..13 13 13 13 13 13 12 10
20 FT wind gust.21 20 21 21 21 21 20 17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 3.4 4.9 5.8 7.1 6.8 6.1 5.6
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.17 21 22 22 23 23 22 22
ADI.............41 71 90 96 110 108 98 138
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28 61 94 110 142 137 116 106
Ventrate Cat....PR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
north 6 to 8 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph shifting to the north 16
to 18 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (64500 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4900 knot-ft) late in the
night.
ADI.................89 early in the evening decreasing to 6 late in
the night.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........28 24 24 26 27 24 22 21 22 33 48 55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 66 62 59 58 56 55 53 51 49 49 48
RH..............40 45 52 60 62 69 69 71 71 74 68 68
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT wind spd..9 7 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.15 12 10 10 12 12 13 14 16 17 17 16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.9 1.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.20 14 13 13 14 16 17 16 17 18 17 16
ADI.............89 6 6 6 6 7 8 11 12 12 19 18
Vrate kt-ft/1K..65 7 5 5 5 7 9 9 9 30 25 26
Ventrate Cat....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (37700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
ADI.................13 to 49.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59 60 58 53 49 44 40 35 30 29 27 25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 47 46 48 49 51 52 53 53 53 53 52
RH..............71 68 71 65 63 61 56 54 54 54 54 56
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..8 8 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 10
20 FT wind gust.15 16 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 2.6 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.0 2.6
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.15 15 15 14 14 13 12 12 12 12 13 14
ADI.............13 49 45 44 45 43 40 41 41 39 40 45
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8 34 35 36 38 37 35 36 36 34 33 31
Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
$$
Forecaster...Fitzsimmons
Requested by...Natasha Whetzel
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412237.0/PHI
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Natasha.whetzel@tnc.org