Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago

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FXZS60 NSTU 100143
AFDPPG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pago Pago  AS
243 PM SST Thu May 9 2024

.Short term...
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...The cold front will linger near
the islands through the weekend. This oscillation of the front
axis will at times bring heavy showers over the territory in the
next few days. RAOB from this afternoon depicted an unstable
profile. Satellite shows most of the deep convections and
thunderstorms to the north of Tutuila and Manua. Another area of
convections to the northwest of Savaii is slowly moving southeast
across the Samoan islands. The ridge to the southwest will
continue to strengthen and this will build winds to breezy flow on
Friday night before becoming strong on Saturday.

.Long term...
SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...The shearline will hold widespread
showers across the islands on Sunday along with strong trades.
Another ridge to the northeast will push the shearline westward on
Sunday night. This will slowly diminish and shift winds to breezy
east flow. Showers will slightly subside to numerous before
becoming scattered on Monday. The strong high pressure to the
south will again build strong east winds on Monday night and this
will persist through the rest of the long term. Moist easterly
flow will continue to bring scattered showers through Thursday.

&&

.Marine...
Strong high pressure to the southwest will generate breezy winds
and rough seas on the weekend. These rough and hazardous
conditions will persist through the rest of the new week. Strong
trades and east winds will remain across the islands through the
new week.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch remains in effect through Friday morning.

&&

$$