Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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FNUS72 KRAH 100708
FWSRAH

Spot Forecast for Moses Rx burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
308 AM EDT Wed Apr 10 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact this NWS office if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will remain centered off the Southeast coast through
this morning. A powerful storm system will approach from the
southwest later today and move through the eastern United States
tonight through Thursday night. Mild high pressure will build over
the Southeast states over the weekend.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................5.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........92
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10
Temp............58
RH..............96
20 FT wind dir..S
20 FT wind spd..5
20 FT wind gust.8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.7
LVORI...........6
ADI.............5
Visibility (sm).10

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph shifting to the south 12
                    to 17 mph late in the morning.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 55 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  86  86  82  82  85  83  75  70  66  56  53
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............58  58  59  62  67  71  73  75  77  77  78  79
RH..............100 96  96  90  75  66  59  55  52  50  48  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   14  14  15  16  16  16  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   13  14  17  16  15  15  14  14  14
LVORI...........6   6   4   4   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............5   5   11  11  11  54  54  54  55  55  55  39
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers overnight. Chance of showers early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................12 to 39.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Visibility..........10.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  58  57  59  62  64  70  77  83  89  94  100
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  30
Temp............77  77  73  69  68  66  65  65  64  64  63  63
RH..............48  50  57  68  70  75  78  81  84  87  90  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  12  13  12  13  13  12  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  17  18  17  17  17  18  20  21  22
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  12  13  14  14  15  14  14  14  14  14  14
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5
ADI.............39  39  12  12  12  13  13  13  12  12  12  13
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Showers through
                    the day. Chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. South winds 15 to 24 mph with gusts to
                    around 36 mph increasing to 23 to 26 mph with
                    gusts to around 41 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 24 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................13 to 32.
Pcpn amount.........0.38 inches.
Visibility..........10 decreasing to 7 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4 late in the morning increasing
                    to 6 early in the afternoon increasing to 9
                    decreasing to 7 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 96  91  87
Weather cov.....CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  90  90  90  90  90  90  100 100 100 100
Temp............63  64  64  66  68  70  70  71  71  71  72  72
RH..............93  93  93  90  84  81  84  81  81  81  76  76
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  16  18  21  23  24  25  26  26  23
20 FT wind gust.22  22  22  24  28  31  33  36  38  40  41  39
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  18  20  21  22  23  24  24  25  25
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............13  13  22  22  22  28  28  28  32  32  32  28
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  7   4   4   6   9   10  7   3   3

$$
Forecaster...PETRO
Requested by...Erick Rietschier
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410164.0/RAH
.DELDT 04/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL erietschier@tnc.org
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