Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 261130

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
630 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...12Z Aviation Update...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Most of the Missouri Ozarks is quiet on radar this morning with
most of the showers and thunderstorms just to our west and north.
Most of the short term models suggest new development of showers
and storms between 11z to 13z this morning across portions of
southern Missouri and lifting northward. We will have to see how
this pans out but will continue scattered chances in the near
term forecast this morning due to the high moisture content and a
weak disturbances moving across the area.

Scattered convection will be around for the afternoon into the
evening. Extra cloud cover and showers around will keep
temperatures in the middle 80s today. A few strong to isolated
severe storms may be possible again today mainly along and north
of I-44 this afternoon and evening. Gusty winds and small hail
will be the main threats along with lightning and heavy downpours.
Due to the high moisture content, these storms will be efficient
rain producers. Localized heavy rainfall is possible and minor,
brief flooding possible.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Slightly unsettled weather will continue through the weekend but
not a wash out any day. Will continue to see this weak boundary in
the area with abundant moisture in the atmosphere. There will be
occasional chances for scattered showers and storms from time to
time through the weekend especially in the late afternoon and
evening hours.

Off and on rain chances will stay in the forecast through early
and middle of next week. Moisture will continue to be in place as
well as little disturbances riding through the mid level flow.
Will maintain slight chances each day through middle of next week.
Temperatures will be around or just slightly above average in the
middle to upper 80s.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 617 AM CDT Fri Aug 26 2016

Scattered thunderstorms are again expected today across the
region. Exact coverage and timing remains very challenging, so
have utilized VCTS and PROB30 groups for now. Where thunderstorms
do occur, IFR cigs and vis, along with gusty winds, can be

Most thunderstorm activity should dissipate by mid to late
evening tonight.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Boxell is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.