Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 120804

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
304 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0209 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

Mild temperatures were in place across the region early this
morning in advance of a cold front that was moving across Kansas
and northern Missouri. With the exception of slightly increased
cloud cover, the front will pass through the Ozarks this morning
with little more than a wind shift and briefly gusty winds. The
airmass in place across the area in advance of the front is just
too dry for precipitation.

Once the front moves through the area, a slightly cooler airmass
will filter into the Ozarks for today. Highs will be in the 70s
this afternoon with mostly sunny skies.

Overnight temperatures will fall into the 40s as the cooler air
moves into the region.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 0209 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

For Tuesday through the end of the week, upper level northwesterly
flow will bring several additional rounds of cool weather to the
region with no significant chance of precipitation anticipated.
Another cold front will move through the area early Friday, but
models continue to trend the rain potential downward with this
system. At this point the chances for rain across the region with
this front are 20 percent or less.

Through the weekend, a sprawling Canadian high will move over the
the eastern half of the country. This will make for a very fall
like weekend with highs in the lower 60s and overnight lows in the
lower 40s.

A significant pattern shift is then expected for early next week
as a deep trough digs into the southwestern states. The resulting
southwesterly flow aloft will allow moisture to return to the
region with the potential for several rounds showers and storms by
the middle of next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday Night)
Issued at 1238 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

VFR conditions will continue through Monday evening.

Low level wind shear conditions will persist overnight ahead of an
approaching cold front.

Southerly winds will then shift to the northwest to north behind
that front around sunrise. Northerly wind gusts over 20 knots can
be expected from later Monday morning into Monday afternoon before
winds diminish around sunset.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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