Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4

000
FNUS73 KSGF 101520
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR THREE SISTERS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1020 AM CDT THU APR 10 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

STRONG WINDS ALOFT WILL PRODUCE GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
TODAY...ESECIALLY ON SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST FACING ELEVATED EXPOSED
TERRAIN. DRY CONDTIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH ONLY VERY LIMITED
MOISTURE MOVING UP FROM THE SOUTH.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 16 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT LATE IN THE DAY.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2100 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 32 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        TSM TSM
TEMP............66  69  73  77  79  81  81  80
RH..............39  35  32  30  28  25  27  30
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  12  11  11  11  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  30  25  25  25  25  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.5 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.8 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.32  32  32  32  32  31  31  30
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20
HAINES INDEX....6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........A FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THIS
                    EVENING WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............78     71     66     63     60     58
RH..............33     49     60     70     77     78
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 4   NE 2   N 2    N 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     5             5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2700   400    300    400    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 29  SW 23  W 16   NW 10  NW 9   N 13
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM    TSTORM    TSTORM    TSTORM
TEMP............56        60        67        71
RH..............79        70        61        59
20 FT WIND......NE 3G5    E 5       E 4G5     E 4G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       900       1600      3800
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15     E 9       E 8       E 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).30        40        40        40
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         4


$$
FORECASTER...ALBERT
REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140410.THREE.01/SGF






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.