Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 231003
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Blue Hole...US Forest Service - USFS
National Weather Service Springfield MO
403 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2000 CST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy winds will return this afternoon as low pressure develops
across the Central Plains. Clouds will increase some this morning
then clear from southwest to northeast this afternoon. Dense fog
will also occur early this morning. Fog will then dissipate by mid
morning.

A mostly dry cold front will push across the region on Friday.
Cooler conditions will spread into the area behind the front
for this weekend.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog.
                    Widespread dense fog early in the morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........57 at ignition...Min 52.
RH..................92 percent at ignition...Max 98 percent.
DEWPOINT............54 decreasing to 51 early in the morning.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 400-1700 ft
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....South 3 to 6 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor /3900 knot-ft/ at ignition. Min...poor
                    /1900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 6.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........0   10  2   0   5   22  31  82  66  57  51  55
WEATHER COV.....                            PTY PTY WID WID WID
WEATHER TYPE....                            FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............61  59  57  56  56  55  54  54  54  54  53  52
DEWPOINT........56  55  54  54  54  54  54  53  53  52  51  51
RH..............84  87  92  92  93  95  98  96  96  93  93  96
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   2   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  15  10  5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/10007   5   4   3   2   2   2   3   2   3   3   4

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Widespread dense
                    fog early in the morning, then areas of dense
                    fog early in the morning. Patchy dense fog
                    during mid morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 49 percent.
DEWPOINT............53.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 2000-2600 ft AGL in
                    the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....South 6 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 26 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (0-39300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (36900-60200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67  64  65  79  71  57  46  42  44  43  41  46
WEATHER COV.....WID ARS PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............52  52  54  57  61  64  69  71  73  73  73  71
DEWPOINT........51  51  52  53  54  55  54  54  53  53  53  53
RH..............96  96  93  86  80  73  59  55  50  49  49  53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   4   5   6   6   8   8   9   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  20  20  25  25  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   8   9   12  15  20  23  25  26  26  24  21
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/10002   0   1   5   13  25  39  51  59  60  51  37

$$
Forecaster...WISE
Requested by...Jess Register
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702669.0/SGF
.EMAIL jregister@fs.fed.us



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