Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 202010
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Piney Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Springfield MO
310 PM CDT Mon Mar 20 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1600 CDT on March 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry with a slight breeze for the rest of the afternoon. Chances
for showers and thunderstorms will then increase tonight into
Tuesday night as a cold front moves south through the region.
Winds will also shift to the northeast overnight behind that
front.

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........86 at request...Max 86.
RH..................37 percent at request...Min 37 percent.
DEWPOINT............57.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds southwest at 7 mph at request...otherwise
                    Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 ft AGL at request...otherwise 4000-4300 ft
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....West 9 to 18 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Excellent /63900 knot-ft/ at request.
                    Max...excellent /63900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at request...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........18  26  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0
TEMP............86  86  84
DEWPOINT........57  57  57
RH..............37  37  40
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.2 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  14  9
HAINES INDEX....4   4   3
VRATE KT-FT/100064  51  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after midnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 60.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
DEWPOINT............56.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 700-2100 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 2 to 5 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to fair (1400-17800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........24  24  26  28  35  41  40  40  46  46  50  55
WEATHER COV.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                                    SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20
TEMP............81  77  74  72  70  69  68  66  65  63  62  61
DEWPOINT........57  56  56  57  56  57  57  57  57  56  55  56
RH..............44  48  53  59  61  66  68  73  75  78  78  84
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.2 3.6 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   2   2   3   3   5   5   3   3   2   2   2
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/100018  9   8   9   7   5   4   3   2   2   1   1

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of showers
                    through the day.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 percent.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...33 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 73.
RH..................Min 55 percent.
DEWPOINT............54.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2300 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4200 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....West 2 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast 8 to
                    16 mph during mid and late afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (1900-42600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........68  63  58  61  62  64  65  68  75  78  81  85
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
CHC OF THDR (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
TEMP............60  61  61  64  67  70  72  73  73  71  69  66
DEWPOINT........55  55  55  55  55  55  55  56  56  56  55  53
RH..............84  81  81  73  65  59  55  55  55  59  61  63
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   N   NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   3   5   6   5   3   3   6   8   12  14  16
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/10002   4   7   12  13  12  12  20  31  40  43  41

$$
Forecaster...GRIFFIN
Requested by...MOCC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1704700.0/SGF
.EMAIL momocdispatch@fs.fed.us



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