Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 192141
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHUT-IN MOUNTAIN FENS...TNC (IN COOP W/ NPS)
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
341 PM CST WED NOV 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION BEGINNING TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY ON THURSDAY. LIGHT...EASTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY
BY SUNSET THURSDAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AND
SKIES WILL BE MAINLY CLEAR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     45     40
RH..............43     41     52
20 FT WIND......W 2    W 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   1900   2000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7    S 5    SE 3
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     33     32     30     30     30
RH..............61     69     75     80     82     81
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5                    5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   1100   600    600    700    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3   SE 5   SE 7   SE 9   SE 12  SE 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...GAGAN
REQUESTED BY...BURN BOSS  BLANE HEUMANN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141120.SHUTI.01/SGF





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