Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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871
FNUS73 KSGF 220528
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOLDEN PRAIRIE RX...CHLOETA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1128 PM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FOR THE PLAINS THROUGH SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
BRINING A GOOD CHANCE FOR RAIN TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY, ESPECIALLY
OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

ANOTHER SYSTEM AND A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL INCREASE WINDS
OVER THE AREA TUESDAY BUT CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL BE LOW.
GRASSLAND AREAS WILL SEE AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER DUE TO THE
WINDS.

AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF COLDER BUT DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED
LATE IN THE WEEK.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FOG IN
                    THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42 DECREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /49000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /58800 KNOT-FT/.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........91  86  73  60  46  46  46
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNF
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).40  10  0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............44  46  48  50  50  48  45
DEWPOINT........40  39  38  37  37  36  35
RH..............86  76  68  61  61  63  68
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..11  12  11  11  11  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.30  30  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.26  25  25  26  26  26  28
HAINES INDEX....3   3   4   4   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/100049  54  58  59  58  55  50

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    UNTIL LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 12 TO 16
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (15500-44000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........46  53  61  69  58  47  36  35  35  34  33  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
TEMP............43  41  39  38  38  38  37  36  35  34  33  32
DEWPOINT........34  34  33  32  32  32  32  32  31  31  31  30
RH..............70  76  79  79  79  79  82  85  85  89  92  92
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20  20  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  28  28  26  24  22  20  16  14  12  12  12
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   4
VRATE KT-FT/100044  41  41  40  37  33  28  24  20  17  16  16

$$
FORECASTER...LINDENBERG
REQUESTED BY...HEIDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700622.0/SGF
.EMAIL HOBERLIN@CHLOETAFIRE.COM



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