Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 231401
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERSHED...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
901 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2105 CDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY ACROSS THE AREA.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE MID 70S...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPPING TO BETWEEN 40 AND 45
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS
MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
WITH ADDITIONAL CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 41 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     50     56     64     70     74
RH..............84     82     69     54     46     41
20 FT WIND......N 2    NW 2   W 3    SW 4   SW 5   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      5             5
MIX HGT (FT)....200    200    500    2000   3300   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8   SW 8   SW 9   W 12   W 12   W 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 78 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     66     61     59     57     55
RH..............48     60     68     69     73     77
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 2   SE 3   SE 3   S 4    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   2900   1000   600    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8    W 9    SW 10  SW 13  SW 14  S 14
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 35
                    TO 36 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............54     55     60     65     72     77
RH..............79     79     73     62     49     43
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 6   S 10   S 11   S 14   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     25     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....400    600    1300   2100   2700   2900
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 16   S 22   S 28   S 32   SW 35
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     30     40
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 64 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED AROUND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 41 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     67     64     59     56     55     53     53     58     65     68     71
RH..............46     58     67     74     78     81     80     82     80     62     55     52
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 6    SW 5   SW 3   SW 3   SW 2   S 2    S 3    S 5    S 6    S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     15     10     5      5      5      5      5      10     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   2200   700    600    500    400    300    300    500    1800   3300   4200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 36  SW 32  W 26   W 20   W 16   SW 16  S 17   S 20   S 22   S 25   S 30   SW 37
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     50     50     50     20     20     20     20     20     20     40     40
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      5      5      5      5      5      5      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...BOXELL
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150322.WATER.01/SGF






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