Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 231504 AAA
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATERSHED...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
904 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY WITH A LIGHT NORTHWEST
WIND. WE HAVE LOWERED EXPECTED HUMIDITY LEVELS FOR THIS AFTERNOON
WITH MINIMUM VALUES AROUND 40 PERCENT FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2300 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............37  41  43  44  45  45  43
RH..............64  54  49  45  41  41  45
20 FT WIND DIR..N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   4   4   4   3
20 FT WIND GUST.    5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   6   8   10  13  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............41     38     35     34     33     31
RH..............52     57     61     64     69     72
20 FT WIND......NW 2   W 2    W 2    W 3    W 3    W 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   1300   500    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16  NW 17  W 16   W 16   W 17   W 18
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     32     38     46     51     51
RH..............73     71     61     51     44     45
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 5    NW 5   W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5                    10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    300    600    1100   1700   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 20   W 18   NW 16  NW 15  W 16   W 17
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      4      4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 61 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 36 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     43     41     41     39     38     37     39     45     52     56     55
RH..............55     63     69     72     74     78     81     75     62     48     41     42
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 4    W 4    W 3    SW 3   W 3    W 4    W 5    W 6    W 8    W 9    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5      5             10     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....900    400    200    200    300    300    200    300    500    1000   2200   2300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21   W 24   W 29   W 32   W 33   W 35   W 33   W 31   W 30   NW 29  NW 31  NW 33
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      4      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN
REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150123.WATER.01/SGF






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