Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 301143
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARMEN...USDA-FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
643 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING AND OFF TO THE
EAST BY THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON WILL RANGE FROM 25
TO AROUND 30 PERCENT. ANOTHER WEAK FRONT WILL TRY TO VEER LIGHT WINDS BACK
TO THE WEST BRIEFLY TUESDAY. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY
AS A STRONGER FRONT MOVES INTO THE PLAINS. WIND GUSTS ON WEDNESDAY
COULD APPROACH 25 TO 30 MPH. THIS NEXT FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY WITH WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54 AT IGNITION...MAX 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........BECOMING SOUTH AROUND MIDDAY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1600 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     58     64     68
RH..............65     44     33     30
20 FT WIND......E 1    S 2    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....800    2600   3600   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9    S 10   S 13   S 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     61     57     54     52     51
RH..............32     40     49     57     66     71
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 3    S 4    S 4    SW 4   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1300   600    500    500    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16   SW 15  SW 13  SW 10  SW 12  SW 16
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........WEST TO NORTHWEST BECOMING LIGHT NORTHEASTERLY
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     53     61     69     73     77
RH..............76     79     72     56     46     39
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 4   W 5    W 5    NW 5   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....200    300    800    1800   3500   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21   W 21   W 17   NW 13  NW 9   NW 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 59 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                                 S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............73     67     61     59     56     54     53     54     61     67     71     74
RH..............44     54     61     66     71     73     73     74     65     58     55     53
20 FT WIND......N 3    N 2    NE 2   E 3    E 3    E 3    E 3    SE 5   SE 7   SE 8   S 9    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5      5      10     15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....4600   2800   800    500    600    600    500    600    800    1400   2000   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6    N 6    NE 7   E 8    E 8    SE 8   SE 8   SE 10  SE 15  S 20   S 24   S 28
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10     10     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...FOSTER
REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150330.CARME.01/SGF






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