Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FNUS73 KSGF 271237
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCG STAND 4...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
737 AM CDT MON OCT 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE OVER EASTERN KANSAS WILL BRING GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL GUST AT TIME TO
AROUND 35 MPH. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE OZARKS THIS EVENING
BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA WITH WINDS SHIFTING
OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST.

SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO EARLY TUESDAY WITH OVERNIGHT WINDS GUSTING
FROM 20 TO 25MPH AND LASTING INTO THE DAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO TAPPER
LATE TUESDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 39 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     SCATTERED
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP............73     77     79     77
RH..............53     48     46     47
20 FT WIND......S 12   S 11   S 12   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1700   1800   1700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 35   S 36   SW 38  SW 39
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     30
HAINES INDEX....5      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 90 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTH BECOMING WEST.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM
TEMP............74     66     63     61     59     58
RH..............52     67     76     86     89     84
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 7    S 8    SW 7   W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1100   600    400    900    1700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 39  SW 38  SW 36  W 31   W 26   NW 21
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     50     60     70     40
HAINES INDEX....5      4      3      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 35 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     55     59     62     64     65
RH..............77     72     57     44     38     35
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 5   NW 4   NW 6   NW 6   W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   800    700    2100   3700   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16  NW 15  NW 15  NW 17  NW 20  NW 22
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     10     10     10     0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      4      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 51 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     53     50     48     47     46     45     44     50     56     60     61
RH..............42     53     60     62     63     66     68     66     50     39     35     35
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 4    W 3    W 3    W 3    W 2    W 2    W 2    NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   W 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      5      5      5      5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   600    200    200    400    600    700    600    800    2100   3200   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23  NW 24  NW 25  NW 25  NW 23  NW 20  NW 16  NW 14  NW 13  NW 12  NW 9   W 8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3      3      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...HATCH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141027.SCGST.01/SGF








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