National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FLUS43 KSGF 191119
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
619 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
619 AM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.
  LIMITED FOG RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  LOCALIZED AREAS OF FOG WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
  MISSOURI EARLY THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES MAY FALL BELOW A MILE
  AT TIMES.

  A WEAKENING AREA OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL IMPACT EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
  EARLY THIS MORNING. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A
  FEW WINDS GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES
  WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACTS WITH ANY STORMS.

  SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
  CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

  THE RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TRACKS
  INTO THE CENTRAL U.S.

  STORMS ARE INITIALLY EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS SUPERCELLS AND MOVE
  INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI
  TO THE INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 5 AND 8 PM...AND INTO THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS TO THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND
  MIDNIGHT AS A SQUALL LINE.

  ANY SUPERCELLS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS. AS THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE...DAMAGING STRAIGHT
  LINE WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY.
  ISOLATED TORNADOES WOULD ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE EMBEDDED WITHIN
  THE LINE OF STORMS.

  ADDITIONALLY...A VERY MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE REGION MAY LEAD TO
  LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL AGAIN OCCUR FROM
  LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND IMPACT THE
  ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS WELL.

  ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY INTO
  EARLY TUESDAY INCLUDING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND TORNADOES.

  IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND
  MAY RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING FOR MOST OF EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS
  GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT FOR MOST
  OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

HATCH