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000
FLUS43 KSGF 191718
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1218 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201730-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1218 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH
  CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

  THE RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING THEN EXTEND INTO THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE CENTRAL
  U.S.

  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP AS SUPERCELLS ACROSS
  CENTRAL KANSAS INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
  MOVE NORTHEAST. THESE SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP INTO A LINE NEAR
  OR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND
  FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI TO THE INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR BETWEEN
  6 AND 9 PM...AND INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS TO THE HIGHWAY 65
  CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT AS A SQUALL LINE. THE STORMS
  WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS
  OVERNIGHT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN.

  ANY SUPERCELLS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS. AS THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE...DAMAGING STRAIGHT
  LINE WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY.
  ISOLATED TORNADOES WOULD ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE EMBEDDED WITHIN
  THE LINE OF STORMS.

  ADDITIONALLY...A VERY MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE REGION MAY LEAD TO
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL AGAIN OCCUR FROM
  LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND IMPACT
  THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
  SEVERE WEATHER MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS WELL.

  ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY INTO
  EARLY TUESDAY INCLUDING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND TORNADOES.

  IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AND
  MAY RESULT IN HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS
  EVENING...THEN MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REST OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF