000
FLUS43 KSGF 192052
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
352 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-202100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
352 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 30 MPH CAN BE
  EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

  THE RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
  OUTLOOK AREA THIS EVENING THEN EXTEND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
  AS A STRONG STORM SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE CENTRAL U.S.

  STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AS SUPERCELLS ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS INTO
  CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF A DRY LINE.
  THESE STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE  NORTHEAST. THESE SUPERCELLS WILL
  DEVELOP INTO A LINE NEAR OR ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
  AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI TO THE INTERSTATE 49 CORRIDOR
  BETWEEN 6 AND 9 PM...AND INTO THE MISSOURI OZARKS TO THE HIGHWAY
  65 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT AS A SQUALL LINE. THE
  STORMS WILL SPREAD EAST INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS OVERNIGHT AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN.

  ANY SUPERCELLS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL TO THE
  SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...TORNADOES...AND DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
  WINDS. AS THE STORMS CONGEAL INTO A LINE...DAMAGING STRAIGHT
  LINE WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY.
  ISOLATED TORNADOES WOULD ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE EMBEDDED WITHIN
  THE LINE OF STORMS.

  ADDITIONALLY...A VERY MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE REGION MAY LEAD TO
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL AGAIN OCCUR FROM
  MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND IMPACT THE
  ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
  WEATHER MAY PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY AS WELL.

  ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER MONDAY INTO
  EARLY TUESDAY INCLUDING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF
  BALLS...DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND TORNADOES.

  IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING.

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY BUT
  SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI EARLY THIS
  EVENING...THEN MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REST OF THE MISSOURI
  OZARKS LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

FOSTER