Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FLUS43 KSGF 230850
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
350 AM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-240900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
350 AM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  BANDS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
  NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS MORNING AND EARLY
  THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND BRIEF HEAVY
  RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL HAZARDS WITH THIS
  ACTIVITY.

  THUNDERSTORMS MAY THEN REDEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND THEN SHIFT INTO
  WESTERN MISSOURI. IF THESE THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP AND ENOUGH
  INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
  WILL BE POSSIBLE WEST OF HIGHWAY 65. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
  QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WOULD BE THE PRIMARY
  POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED FROM ANY STORMS
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT
  TONIGHT ACROSS PRIMARILY CENTRAL MISSOURI. FREQUENT
  LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE
  THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL HAZARDS FROM THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  WARMER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD BACK INTO THE AREA ON
  WEDNESDAY AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S TO THE
  LOWER 90S. HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE 90S TO NEAR 100
  DEGREES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

  A FEW HIT AND MISS TYPE STORMS MAY OCCUR DURING THE DAY ON
  WEDNESDAY BUT MOST LOCATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY.

  A COLD FRONT WILL THEN PUSH INTO CENTRAL KANSAS INTO NORTHERN
  MISSOURI LATER WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STORMS ARE
  EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MAY PUSH INTO
  PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. IF THESE
  STORMS CAN MAKE IT THAT FAR SOUTH...THERE WILL BE A LIMITED
  RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME LARGE HAIL.
  OTHERWISE...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
  WILL BE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL HAZARDS ACROSS CENTRAL
  MISSOURI.

  THAT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THURSDAY INTO
  FRIDAY WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED. THERE
  WILL AGAIN BE A LIMITED RISK FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
  STORMS ON THURSDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDICES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S WILL REMAIN
  POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THAT FRONT...MAINLY ON THURSDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN REMAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM THIS
  WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST CHANCE
  FOR STORMS APPEARS AS IF IT WILL BE ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN


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