Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 251617
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1117 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261630-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1117 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AS A
WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH TOWARDS THE REGION. THE MAIN
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
NICKELS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DEVELOP ALONG THAT WARM FRONT
FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS BEING THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD. AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR STORMS TRACKING ALONG THE WARM FRONT.

THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. WHILE A FEW
SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...LINE SEGMENTS WILL LIKELY BECOME THE MAIN
THUNDERSTORM MODE THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE LINE SEGMENTS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH ANY LINE SEGMENTS THAT BOW OUT
TO THE NORTHEAST.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES...IS EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
  EVENING ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN





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