Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 011750
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1250 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-021800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1250 PM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TO ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
  EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND
  SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
  MAIN POTENTIAL HAZARD WITH THESE STORMS.

  A COMPLEX OF STORMS IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN
  KANSAS AND SHIFT EAST INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE
  TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS AND WILL
  LEAD TO A LIMITED TO LOCALLY ELEVATED FLOODING RISK GENERALLY
  NORTHWEST OF A FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO WARSAW MISSOURI LINE.
  NUMEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL ALSO LIKELY
  OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

  STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO TRACK INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI
  SATURDAY MORNING AND SHOULD BEGIN TO SHIFT NORTH SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR WITH
  THESE STORMS. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS MAY THEN
  DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY EVENING FROM PORTIONS OF
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI AS A WARM
  FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE AREA. IF THESE STORMS CAN
  DEVELOP...ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR WILL EXIST FOR
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

  LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN SLOWLY TRACK ACROSS THE REGION FROM
  VERY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES...WITH THE GREATEST
  POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS OCCURRING ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
  EVENING IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN DEVELOP.

  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS WILL RESULT IN A
  LIMITED TO ELEVATED RISK FOR FLOODING THIS WEEKEND. A FLASH
  FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS NORTH OF A FORT SCOTT
  KANSAS TO BOLIVAR TO ROLLA MISSOURI FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
  MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH
  MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM ONE TO FOUR INCHES WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO AROUND FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS
  CENTRAL MISSOURI.

  THOSE WITH OUTDOOR PLANS THIS WEEKEND INCLUDING ALONG AREA
  RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR APPROACHING STORMS...
  AND CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

  HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 DEGREES
  ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI
  BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE
  UPPER 90S TO AROUND 105 DEGREES ARE THEN EXPECTED TO OCCUR BY
  THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

SCHAUMANN


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