Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO
044 FLUS43 KSGF 271938 HWOSGF Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 238 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281945- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 238 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Elevated tornado risk. Significant hail risk. Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk. Significant lightning risk. Significant excessive rainfall risk Limited non thunderstorm wind risk. DISCUSSION... An east to west gradient of incraesing severe risk exists for our forecast area tonight (generally after 7 PM). Springfield is within a Slight (2/5) risk, Mount Vernon is within an Enhanced (3/5) risk, and Joplin, Nevada and Pittsburg, KS are within a Moderate (4/5) risk. For areas generally along and west of I-49, significant severe weather is expected with strong tornadoes, hail up to the size of baseballs, and wind gusts up to 70 mph all possible. Initial storms in this region will likely be training supercells bringing all hazards before another round of storms comes through as a line bringing mainly wind gusts and a spinup tornado or two. This line of storms will move eastward and impact Springfield in the early morning hours (generally between 1-4 AM). With the training nature of storms, high amounts of moisture, and multiple rounds of rain, significant area, river, and flash flooding is also expected, especially in areas that have already received 3-6 inches of rain. This includes locations along and west of Highway 65. A Moderate (3/4) risk for excessive rainfall exists for this area. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. There is a Slight (2/5) risk for severe weather Sunday as well. All hazards will be possible for both days. Heavy rainfall and flooding will also be possible with the storms. Portions of our forecast area are in a Slight (2/4) risk for excessive rainfall and flooding Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will likely be needed later today and tonight for areas mainly west of the highway 65 corridor && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf $$ Lindenberg