000
FLUS43 KSGF 202115
HWOSGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
415 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-212115-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
415 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS EASTERN
  KANSAS INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL
  CONTINUE TO TRACK TO THE EAST NORTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
  THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS WILL BE SUPERCELLS WITH THE POTENTIAL
  FOR LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HEN EGGS.

  CLOUDS HAVE REMAINED OVER THE AREA FOR MOST OF THE
  AFTERNOON...BUT ARE CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST. AREAS THAT CAN
  CLEAR LATE THIS AFTERNOON GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
  INTERSTATE 44 AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 WILL HAVE THE BEST TORNADO
  RISK LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...THERE IS THE
  POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG TORNADO AGAIN IF THE CLOUDS CLEAR AND
  TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 80S.

  A LINE OF STORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS KANSAS AND
  OKLAHOMA AND SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING INTO THE
  OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH WOULD BE
  POSSIBLE WITH ANY BOWING SEGMENTS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A RISK FOR
  TORNADOES WITHIN THE LINE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA DUE TO STRONG
  LOW LEVEL SHEAR.

  IN ADDITION...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY RESULT IN
  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING TONIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNT FROM ONE TO
  TWO INCHES WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF THE OUTLOOK
  AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THE RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING WILL LINGER
  INTO TUESDAY FOR MOST OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THE PRIMARY
  CONCERNS FOR TUESDAY WOULD BE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
  HEAVY RAINFALL .

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY INTO
  THE WEEKEND BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
  EVENING FOR AREAS WEST OF HIGHWAY 65 AND FOR ALL OF THE OUTLOOK
  AREA LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

$$

WFO SGF