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000
FXUS62 KTAE 232334
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
734 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Surface high pressure will remain on tap throughout the near term,
mostly clear to clear skies are expected. Needless to say, dry
conditions and light winds are also expected. Expect daytime highs
generally in the low 80s with overnight lows generally in the low to
mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Thursday night)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

A trough moving through the Great Lakes will flatten our ridge out
Wednesday night and Thursday and will also try to send a cold
front down to our area. However, the front won`t make it. At most,
an isolated shower or storm can`t be ruled out over the
northernmost tier of counties Thursday afternoon, but minimal
impacts are expected. Highs will be in the lower to middle 80s
with lows in the upper 50s to near 60.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Ridging builds back stronger across the area late week into the
weekend. High pressure will be positioned off the southeast and
mid- Atlantic coasts while a low pressure system develops over the
Plains. This results in a tightening pressure gradient and perhaps
some breezy winds this weekend. Otherwise, temperatures will be on
the rise with widespread upper 80s by early next week for highs.
Lows will also climb into the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 734 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

A little more moistening of the low-level air mass will occur over
the next 24 hours. Through sunrise, it should not be enough for
fog, but went with persistence from this morning at VLD in showing
a short-duration visibility reduction right at sunrise. Moving
into the day on Wednesday, the moistening will lead to a greater
number of terminals observing scattered-coverage fair weather
cumulus, with bases in the 035-050 range.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Winds will generally be light and variable through Wednesday
before becoming gentle easterly to southeasterly late in the week.
Winds will freshen over the weekend thanks to a tightening
pressure gradient between the high to our east and a developing
system in the Plains. Cautionary to perhaps low-end advisory level
winds are expected this weekend. Seas will also build in response
to 4 to 6 feet.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Lighter transport winds through tomorrow will lead to fair
dispersions region-wide as high pressure dominates. A system
across the Great Plains on Friday will lead to a tightening
pressure gradient across the region leading to high dispersions on
Friday. This system is not expected to make it through our region
and our next chance for wetting rain doesn`t look to appear until
next week. Moisture gradually increases throughout the week as
winds clock around to being out of the south-southeast by this
weekend.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 208 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Minor flooding continues along the middle and lower Suwannee, the
lower Withlacoochee, the Aucilla, and the St. Marks Rivers. The
Aucilla and St. Marks continue to fall and should exit flood stage
during the next 2 to 3 days. On the Suwannee, the flood wave is
now near Branford and will continue to move downstream over the
next 5 to 7 days. Little to no rainfall is expected during the
next week, and there are no flood concerns as a result.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   52  82  58  86 /   0   0   0  10
Panama City   56  79  62  81 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        51  81  59  84 /   0   0   0  10
Albany        50  80  58  83 /   0   0   0  10
Valdosta      52  81  58  85 /   0   0   0  10
Cross City    53  81  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  57  75  62  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT this evening for FLZ115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Oliver
SHORT TERM...Young
LONG TERM....Young
AVIATION...Haner
MARINE...Young
FIRE WEATHER...Oliver
HYDROLOGY...Young