Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 031051
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
551 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Patchy fog could reduce visibilities into the IFR category for a
couple of hours this morning at the northwest Arkansas TAf sites.
Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all area TAF
sites.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 341 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A weak shortwave will move south across the area this afternoon
and evening bringing an increase in mid level cloudiness. Any
precipitation with this system is expected to remain to our west.
A warming trend will take place the rest of the week into the
first part of the weekend as an upper ridge builds over the area.
Saturday looks to be the warmest day of the forecast period with
widespread 80s expected.

An upper low will begin to lift out of the southwest U.S. late
this weekend into early next week. As usual, the details remain
murky this far out, but current indications are that the greatest
coverage of showers and storms in our area will be Monday
afternoon and evening. There will be severe weather potential each
day from Sunday into the middle of next week as it looks like it
will take at least that long for the frontal boundary associated
with this system to clear our area.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...10



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