Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 221152
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
652 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM
VFR...P6SM SKC...THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 AM CDT MON SEP 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...
COOLER/DRIER AIR-MASS WORKING INTO THE AREA BEHIND COLD FRONT THIS
MORNING JUST IN TIME FOR THE START OF FALL WHICH OFFICIALLY
BEGINS THIS EVENING. THE MILD CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS OVER THE CENTRAL/EASTERN
US. AS UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS HOWEVER WILL
LIKELY REMAIN LIMITED AT BEST.

UPPER LEVEL BLOCKING PATTERN DEVELOPS BY LATE WEEK AS UPPER LOW
IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS DRIFTS SOUTH AND BRIEFLY BECOMES CUTOFF OVER
THE REGION. INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ARE MAINLY THE ONLY
THING EXPECTED WITH AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE AS RELATIVELY DRY AIR
REMAINS IN PLACE. OTHERWISE...SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED INTO THE
WEEKEND...INCLUDING A SLOW INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AS WINDS
BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79  55  81  56 /   0  10   0  20
FSM   81  55  80  54 /   0  10   0  10
MLC   80  54  82  54 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   78  49  81  52 /   0  10  10  20
FYV   75  48  78  48 /   0  10   0  10
BYV   76  52  78  50 /   0  10   0  10
MKO   80  54  81  54 /   0  10   0  10
MIO   77  52  78  53 /   0  10   0  10
F10   80  56  81  56 /   0  10   0  10
HHW   82  56  81  54 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...21





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