Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 192057
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
257 PM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Low clouds have hung tough across southeast OK this
afternoon...but we`ve seen enough clearing elsewhere for temps to
warm back into the lower/mid 70s. Moisture return is well underway
with lower 60s dewpoints across the southern half of OK...and
local radars are beginning to detect developing showers across
parts of west central TX into southwest OK.

Showers/few thunderstorms will develop quickly northward this
evening...with the activity eventually spreading east into the
forecast primarily after midnight. A few strong storms will be
possible across southeast OK..but the better chances of severe
weather are expected to remain farther south in TX. Precipitation
chances will wind down Monday morning across eastern OK and by
late afternoon/evening across western AR as the upper trof axis
gradually shifts east.

A quick return to southerly flow along with active
west/southwesterly mid-level flow will result in a few days of
very warm weather...with highs well into the 70s Tuesday through
Thursday. The fire danger threat will be on the rise as well..with
the strongest winds expected for Thursday ahead of an approaching
cold front. The end of the week and into next weekend will be
cooler behind the front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   60  72  47  76 /  80  40  10   0
FSM   57  69  52  75 /  70  80  20  10
MLC   59  70  47  76 /  80  60  10   0
BVO   57  72  40  76 /  80  40  10   0
FYV   58  67  46  72 /  70  80  20   0
BYV   57  71  49  73 /  40  80  40   0
MKO   56  68  47  74 /  80  60  10   0
MIO   60  69  46  74 /  60  60  10  10
F10   58  70  47  75 /  80  50  10   0
HHW   61  68  51  75 /  70  80  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....18



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.