Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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333
FXUS64 KTSA 310842
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
342 AM CDT WED AUG 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Aside from a few showers and storms near the Kansas border,
weather has remained quiet overnight with more organized
convection well to our north. Moist and unstable airmass will
remain in place today as upper level trough diving south through
the Great lakes region begins to push a weak cold front closer to
our area later today with some modest height falls spreading into
the central plains. This will result in more widespread coverage
of thunderstorms this afternoon compared to last couple of days.
Overall weak shear will limit any severe weather potential,
however locally heavy rainfall will be a concern.

Frontal zone will gradually push south tonight and Thursday with
best convective coverage decreasing from northeast to southwest.
Drier air moving in behind the front will bring a nice change of
airmass with dew points likely falling into the 50s Friday as
surface high extends south out of Canada. Overnight lows will fall
into the 50s and lower 60s Fri/Sat mornings with highs in the mid to
upper 80s and low humidity making a nice start to Labor Day
weekend.

Low level moisture should begin to return next week as upper
trough develops to the west and surface high slides off to the
east. Result will be increasing humidity and temps returning back
above normal, with possible isolated diurnal thunderstorms toward
mid-week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   89  70  86  62 /  50  30  20   0
FSM   94  73  87  63 /  30  30  30  10
MLC   93  71  86  65 /  30  30  50  10
BVO   86  67  84  58 /  50  20  10   0
FYV   87  68  83  57 /  40  20  20   0
BYV   86  67  81  57 /  50  20  10   0
MKO   92  70  86  62 /  40  30  30  10
MIO   85  67  84  57 /  50  20  10   0
F10   92  70  86  63 /  40  30  30  10
HHW   93  73  87  69 /  20  30  50  20

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....14



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