Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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625
FXUS64 KTSA 282327
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
627 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions are expected at all area TAF sites through the
valid period. An isolated thunderstorms will skirt KFSM in the
initial hour of the forecast but will keep out of the TAF for now.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 333 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Moist...uncapped atmosphere has once again yielded convection this
afternoon...mostly of the scattered variety. Slightly higher
coverage has been noted across parts of NE OK in the vicinity of a
weak surface boundary. Coverage elsewhere has been mostly confined
to the higher terrain of SE OK. Expect convection to diminish in
areal coverage this evening as daytime heating is lost.
Overall...forecast has changed very little. Weak mid level flow
and the aforementioned uncapped and moist atmosphere will result
in daily scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. An upper wave
moving across the northern and northeast CONUS will help push a
front into the area mid week..which will aid in convective
chances. Upper level ridging will become better established across
the plains towards the end of the work week...which should limit
convection for the weekend. Peeking ahead into next week beyond
the scope of this forecast...improved mid level flow begins to get
closer to the area...which will likely help push a front towards
the area.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$


AVIATION...10



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