Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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530
FXUS64 KTSA 022058
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
258 PM CST Fri Dec 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper low currently situated near the CA Baja region.
Southwesterly flow aloft to strengthen ahead of the low...which
will spread light rain over the region later this evening...with
high areal coverage of rain to continue through Saturday. Highest
rain amounts still expected south of I-40 through this event. Rain
to taper off across most of the area by Sunday...and this will
offer a brief respite before the next chance for rain increase
...mainly across southeast Oklahoma and west central Arkansas as
the upper low begins to move east northeast ok through old Mexico
and Texas. Will also continue with low chance thunder in
conjunction with the highest PoPs late Sunday and into Monday.

Strong cold front still on track to move in and through the region
by midweek. Model uncertainty continues regarding precip
chances...so at this time will go with low PoPs. The coldest
temperatures seen in sometime are expected behind the front...and
light snow chances will be included with the fast moving upper
trough that will swing through in the Wednesday and Thursday time
period. Dry...but chilly conditions expected for the end of the
next work week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  47  39  52 /  60  80  60  10
FSM   42  47  41  50 /  50  80  70  20
MLC   44  47  39  51 /  80 100  60  20
BVO   39  47  38  55 /  40  70  60  10
FYV   38  47  37  47 /  40  70  70  20
BYV   38  46  35  47 /  40  70  80  30
MKO   43  48  40  51 /  60  80  60  20
MIO   38  50  38  50 /  40  60  80  20
F10   43  46  39  52 /  70  90  60  10
HHW   46  48  42  51 /  80 100  60  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....23



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