Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 241729
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1229 PM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Band of showers/thunderstorms will eventually organize and
strengthen later this afternoon across far eastern OK...and
impact the western AR TAF sites late this afternoon and into
the early evening. Mainly MVFR conditions expected...with
localized IFR possible in the heavier storms. Additional
thunderstorms may develop this evening and overnight across
northeast OK.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1105 AM CDT Fri Mar 24 2017/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
925mb winds continue to weaken late this morning and haven`t seen
a 40+ mph gust in several hours...so will cancel the wind advisory
a couple of hours early.

Intial band of showers/thunderstorms is currently moving across
far eastern OK/northwest AR...with another area of convection
across northern TX poised to move into southeast OK over the next
few hours. This area of showers/thunderstorms is expected to
gradually expand in coverage and strengthen as instability
increases into the afternoon. The best chances of severe weather
still look to be across far easter OK into western AR...primarily
after 2-3 pm. Steepening lapse rates associated with the cold
core upper low could produce a few severe storms (mainly hailers)
this evening across northeast OK.

Updated products out asap.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  67  47  79 /  50  20   0  30
FSM   55  68  48  80 /  50  20   0  10
MLC   52  69  47  82 /  20  10   0  20
BVO   50  66  41  78 /  50  20   0  30
FYV   53  59  43  74 /  60  50  10  10
BYV   54  61  47  74 /  80  50  10  10
MKO   53  67  46  79 /  40  20   0  20
MIO   50  60  44  76 /  60  50  10  20
F10   51  68  47  80 /  30  10   0  30
HHW   52  71  49  81 /  20   0   0  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ054-059-064-
     065.

AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18



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