Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 260546
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1146 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
DRY COOL FRONT MOVING THROUGH TAF SITES 11Z-15Z.
APPROXIMATE 11Z KBVO  12Z KTUL KRVS  14Z KMLC  KXNA  KROG
KFYV  15Z KFSM.  MID CLOUD UNTIL COUPLE HOURS AFTER
FRONTAL PASSAGE. GUSTY NW WIND AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE.
VFR THROUGH THE ENTIRE PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 902 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

..UPDATE...

SHORT TERM...
CLOUDS ARE STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA FORM THE NORTHWEST. BETWEEN
THAT AND THE EXPECTED INCREASE IN WIND DURING THE NIGHT...FEEL THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE VERY REASONABLE. BVO AND FYV DROPPED VERY FAST
AFTER SUNSET...BUT BVO HAS RECOVERED A LITTLE AND CLOUDS ARE NOW
REACHING FYV. THE STANDARD TREND IN NIGHTTIME TEMPS WILL NOT HOLD
TONIGHT. TEMPS COULD POTENTIALLY FALL AND RISE FROM ONE HOUR TO
THE NEXT ALL NIGHT.

LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN
CONSIDERABLY BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. BY ABOUT 5 AM...THE COLD
FRONT...NOW IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...SHOULD PUSH INTO OSAGE COUNTY AND
EXTEND INTO SOUTHWEST OK. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE QUICKLY TO THE
SOUTHEAST...AND SHOULD BE WELL INTO ARKANSAS AND NORTHEAST TEXAS
BY LATE MORNING.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   36  56  29  51 /   0   0  10   0
FSM   33  56  30  53 /   0  10   0   0
MLC   35  58  30  56 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   30  52  26  50 /   0   0  10   0
FYV   30  49  26  49 /   0  20   0  10
BYV   31  48  26  47 /   0  20   0  10
MKO   34  57  29  52 /   0  10   0   0
MIO   34  47  26  48 /   0  10  10  10
F10   36  58  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   35  65  32  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...21





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